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Lofty Expectations: Don't Fret Over 'Avengers' Opening

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I, like many a box office predictor on the blogosphere, predicted that Avengers: Age of Ultron would open higher than its record-breaking predecessor. At the same time, I was cautious...

The Avengers, to me, was probably one of "those" films, box office-wise. Films that everybody and their brother goes to see, even people who don't bother going to flicks. Films like The Lion King, Titanic, Spider-ManFinding Nemo, The Dark Knight, Avatar...

It took many years for Disney Animation to see a film that would match The Lion King's grosses, and even then, worldwide phenomenon Frozen grossed $200 million less than what Lion King made adjusted back in 1994, domestically. Spider-Man 2, despite being superior to its predecessor in the eyes of many, didn't outgross the first film. Finding Nemo sold the most tickets out of any Pixar film, Toy Story 3 - despite grossing more - didn't outsell it. Finding Nemo is the second most-attended computer animated film of all time behind Shrek 2, which came out the year after. 2003-2004 was arguably the height of CG animated films, the summit of the momentum mountain.

If the first couple of post-Lion King features were as well-received as that 1994 film, I doubt they would've made Lion King numbers as well. They probably would've made Aladdin numbers at best. $300 million was not an easy total to rack up in 1994, that's for damn sure. Nothing in 1995 made more than $191 million domestically, 1996 had Independence Day, which made $306 million stateside. Then along came Titanic the next year, but nothing grossed $400 million since that film came out... Spider-Man did! In 2002, some 4 1/2 to 5 years later!

My theory is that when something is new and fresh, it takes off... Everything after it won't make as much.

Spider-Man 2 was most likely not going to make Spider-Man numbers to begin with. Outside of Titanic, Spider-Man was the only movie to cross $400 million on its initial run (leaving out the likes of Star Wars and E.T., which got to that mark thanks to re-releases) until Shrek 2 came out in 2004. It became less and less of a magic number by 2010. So Spider-Man 2 still took in an excellent $373 million, that's amazing that it even got there. It still maintained a level of high quality and left audiences satisfied, so it hung on and wasn't too far behind part uno domestically. Spider-Man 3 could've made just as much, but it left a lot of audiences cold.

Titanic and Avatar are anomalies of sorts. James Cameron must've had a golden touch with those two films, but they had the right elements for everyone and they came out at the right time. I don't expect Avatar 2, now that it's probably been delayed from a possible 2017 release once again, to come anywhere near Avatar's $749 million total domestically.

So it's no shock that Avengers: Age of Ultron didn't open as high as the first one. Everyone went to the first one, it was new and novel. It's not so novel anymore because, well, it's the second time the heroes teamed up to fight one heck of a foe. It's not so "wow!" the second time around.

Some think the lower opening might've been due to the Fight of the Century yesterday, or everything I just went over above. However, these are the weekend estimates, but most of the time Box Office Mojo's estimates are spot on so don't be shocked if it opens with $186-188 million. There could be an unprecedented uptick today, and that it could actually finish with $195 million or up. If it doesn't...

Why the fuss?

$187 million is still the second biggest domestic box office opening of all time. In third place is Iron Man 3, $13 million behind... What's in fourth place? The final Harry Potter with $169 million. It's not like movies can easily cough up $187 million, heck! A lot of people thought The Avengers would make around $300-400 million domestically, tops. My prediction was around $330 million! How wrong was I back then!

The Marvel magic isn't waning, audiences are still super-excited about these films. I see all these "think pieces" that keep calling Marvel movies the end of art in cinema, or the death of cinema, or whatever. Now these people are happily thinking that a hole in the proverbial balloon has been pricked, and will pop. To me, most of those think pieces translate to "I don't like superhero movies and they need to go away, because they're bad and everyone should think they're bad because I think they're bad."

$187 million is nothing to scoff at, it's far from a disappointment, it's an excellent total for any movie. Even a sequel to a movie that perhaps over-performed! If anything, the fact that its opening gross is so close to the original film's opening gross and still gargantuan indicates to me that people are still on board RSS Marvel...

'Home' Box Office Progress

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How is DreamWorks' latest doing at the box office so far?

The latest DreamWorks film opened up in China recently, and it'll bow in Venezuela and South Korea later this month...

Right now, the pic has garnered $158 million domestically and $168 million overseas, so it's currently sitting at $326 million worldwide. The film cost $135 million to make, and ideally, a big film of this caliber should make 2 1/2 times its price tag. So Home needs to make $337 million, it's just $11 million away from that...

However...

DreamWorks has weird math, as far as I can see. I'm no business person, so someone's going to have to enlighten me here.

Rise of the Guardians and Mr. Peabody & Sherman didn't make 2.5x their budgets, fair enough. Those were both super-costly. However, Penguins of Madagascar made 2.8x its $132 million budget, and made a healthy $373 million worldwide. Yet DreamWorks deemed it a flop and took a big write down on it... What was it, $57 million? Yet, Turbo, which barely doubled its budget, resulted in a $13 million write down. Back in 2009, the $175 million-costing Monsters vs. Aliens didn't make 2.5x its budget, but it wasn't deemed a flop.

I don't get it.

Anyways, DreamWorks still seems rather optimistic about this film's box office performance at the moment. It sure had a shock $52 million opening, and the domestic total for it will be their best for a non-sequel film since The Croods, but legs have been "just good" at best, not as good as other animated films' legs... And this film had little family-friendly competition in its way too, I'm surprised it isn't performing like The Croods.

So what does DreamWorks want it to make? Is 2.5x the budget ($337 million worldwide) enough? Or are they expecting more? Overhead has been reduced at the company, so maybe this gross won't be too much of a problem, plus with everything that's been going on there, maybe they'll see the film's final gross as a relief.

It's doing strong business over in China, which no doubt boosted the overseas total this weekend. How far does it go there? Probably far, it'll probably be like The Croods all over again, which did really well there too. South Korea ought to boost it, too. Venezuela is a small market, so the most it could make there is probably $15 million.

So it seems like the film will finish with over $200 million overseas. Pretty good, pretty good. But how much more?

Here, it seems like a total north of $165 million is likely. It depends on how the next batch of family-friendly titles affect it, films like Tomorrowland, Inside Out, etc.

So let's see... Here's my current prediction: $165 million domestic plus a possible $220 million overseas gross, we get $385 million. 2.8x its budget... But will DreamWorks call it a flop like they did with Penguins of Madagascar should it make this much? We shall see...

'Monster Trucks' Moves... Again...

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Once again, Paramount Animation has delayed Monster Trucks...

The film, until now, was set to open on Christmas Day of this year. A week away from Star Wars: The Force Awakens. The film - an animation/live-action hybrid directed by Chris Wedge - is not based on any pre-existing material, and it is expectedly going to be a family film... The Force Awakens would've crushed it.

So I had suggested a little while ago that they should move it to February 12, 2016... You know, the date that Universal/Illumination's The Secret Life of Pets recently vacated?

Nope... Paramount has now opted for March 18, 2016, according to The Wrap. This is the release date that Kung Fu Panda 3 used to occupy. A week before Batman v Superman, the same day as Allegiant, Part 1, and two weeks after Zootopia.

All I have to ask is... Why?

This release date isn't as bad as 12/25/2015, but still, 2/12/2016 gives it A LOT more room than this date. I'm not saying that Zootopia and Monster Trucks will cannibalize each other, but sometimes a chunk of money gets lost when similar films open close to each other. I think that's mostly due to the first film that opened loosing its screens, especially the 3D ones, to the second film. Also, the blockbusters will take away the teens and adults... Unless Monster Trucks is backed by a marketing campaign that makes it look great.

Then again...

The Divergent series isn't a real "must-see" series. The sequel opened with less than the first film and is having overall weaker legs than its predecessor as well. Also, I've heard that there is no need to make two films out of the series' third and final book, and remember how Mockingjay, Part 1 opened? I don't think this film will be much of a threat to Monster Trucks, again, should the film look great from the marketing. I mean, Allegiant, Part 1, will still open well, but it's no Hunger Games or Marvel movie.

Still, it's two weeks after Zootopia, and I think both films should be given room to breathe. Plus, Batman v Superman could take a chunk out of it the following weekend. It won't hurt it badly, but for best results, Monster Trucks should be in a place where it won't have to get hit like that on its second weekend.

Again... February 12, 2016. It was right there, Paramount. Why didn't you step right in?

I still think it has the potential to do good in this spot, much more so than before. The Force Awakens would've flattened everything around it, and everything that was set to open near it eventually moved: Warcraft, Inferno, Kung Fu Panda 3, Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation, and now this... The only films opening near that behemoth are small-scale films like Joy, ConcussionXmas and Sisters. Fox for some reason is currently okay with "Hipmunks" 4 opening around that film.

All Monster Trucks needs is a good opening weekend, and regardless of what stands in the way, the legs should be good as long as audiences like what they saw... Which is usually the case with animated family films, even the poorly-received ones. It and Zootopia can certainly co-exist, as Brave and Madagascar 3 did some three years ago, ditto Monsters University, Despicable Me 2, Turbo, The Smurfs 2 and Planes co-existing two years ago. Some of those films in that summer may not have opened too well, but they all had good legs.

But more importantly... The marketing for this film has to be good! The SpongeBob Movie surprised back in February, but at the same time the show is still very popular and the film was well-received. This is an original concept, it's not based on a pre-existing property, so it arguably has something of an uphill battle ahead of it.

What do you think of the new release date?

To Infinity... And Far, Far Away...

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To the shock of no one, Disney Infinity 3.0 Edition will be all about Star Wars...

Fortunately the Star Wars stuff looks really good, and should mesh well with what we've already got...

Of course, I'll be talking about the Disney and Pixar-centric additions to the third game in this ever-lucrative series...

After getting nothing but Marvel-themed play sets when Disney Infinity 2.0 Edition was out, we are getting a set based on Pixar's Inside Out to go alongside the new Marvel sets and the Star Wars play sets. Still no play set based on a Disney Animation film, though...


Anyways, new characters...

All the emotions from Inside Out, a real plus!

TRON: Legacy's Sam Flynn and Quorra, who were exclusive to the digital version of Disney Infinity, will now be available for consoles.

Perhaps one of the more baffling new additions is Mickey Mouse in his classic outfit. Disney Infinity 2.0 had power discs that allowed you to change the outfits of certain characters. For instance, one power disc gave you Mr. Incredible's blue golden age suit, while another gave you the cursed version of Jack Sparrow, Aladdin's Prince Ali costume, Jack Skellington's Santa suit, and so on. I'm surprised they're selling him as a figure, when it should probably be a power disc for the Sorcerer Mickey figure...

I'm guessing he'll be having different powers or something in his classic form. (Think Donald Duck's abilities.) Since we're getting this Mickey, I wonder if there will be a power disc that changes him to Steamboat Willie Mickey.

Minnie is also joining the ranks, another plus... But where's Goofy?

Mulan and Olaf are both joining, big yay to the former and an "oh, okay" to the latter. If anything, we should be getting the other four that make up Big Hero 6. Heck, give us a Big Hero 6 play set! I'd get that in an instant! Since Hiro and Baymax already available, just have the set come with two of the other six heroes! (Go Go and Wasabi, perhaps?)

That's it so far for non-Marvel/Star Wars characters. I'm sure we'll get more in the months that follow its release. The details on the new additions sound awesome, especially the addition of a kart-racing Toy Box Game. The Toy Box Games were a good way to have some fun if you got a little tired of building or playing the play sets, so it's nice to see them adding to that. Among the other details, the gameplay sounds like it'll be a step up, too. Also... No more blind packs for power discs! FINALLY! Hopefully the play sets are bigger and are more challenging, because that was always my beef with these games... The play sets, I think, needed more attention. They're just vehicles to unlock cool stuff for the Toy Box and a good way to level up characters. To me at least, I'm sure kids like them more than I do, I just want something that's a little more challenging...

The real meat of course is, and was always, the Toy Box. The Toy Box is 80% of the reason why I own the games... Okay, maybe 85%. 90%?

Hopefully some of the nastier bugs I've encountered with the recent game are gone this time around.

Yeah, this is a lot to look forward too, as always. My wallet is ready...

(via Game Informer)

'Zootopia' Cast Includes Ginnifer Goodwin, Thoughts on Some Details

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Since Zootopia is less than ten months away, Disney is still keeping a tight lid on it, the usual for animated films made at Walt Disney Animation Studios and Pixar...

Up until now, the only thing we knew about Zootopia's cast was this... Jason Bateman voices the con-artist fox character Nick Wilde. Recently, Disney released an updated plot synopsis that sounded a bit different from the previous one that was unveiled at D23 back in summer 2013. This same synopsis implied that Nick Wilde wasn't the main character of the film, as some of us have assumed... Instead, it's apparently the cop rabbit (or should we say, aspiring cop) Judy Hopps.

Now we know who is voicing Hopps, it's Once Upon a Time star Ginnifer Goodwin. Seems like a good choice, for Lasseter-era Disney Animation usually gets it spot on.

It's possible that the story was changed considerably between summer 2013 and now, which is the usual for most animated features.

The original plot was about Nick Wilde being framed and Judy Hopps going after him, but then both of them realize that they are targets of a massive conspiracy, so they team up - an unlikely team at that. The new plot synopsis on THR indicates that the crew has kept the whole "unlikely alliance" angle, a carnivore and prey having to team up. Here's an interesting line from said article...

"Together they will upend the predator-prey preconceptions that permeate this metropolis."

Interesting... So even though Zootopia itself is a melting pot of different animals from different habitats, there's still predator-vs-prey stuff going on? Wow...

Another questions I have... Is the conspiracy still in play?

Originally Hopps was going to be a "self-absorbed" cop, now she's an optimistic meter maid who wants to be a cop. It seems as if the writers made her more front-and-center, because it seemed like she was the deuteragonist before the updated synopsis came along. That's good though, for it's been a while since a non-fairy tale Disney animated film had a female lead... Last one was 2004's Home on the Range.

However, the earlier plot synopsis had a lot of cool ideas in it and hopefully a good amount of those have been kept. I liked the idea of them getting caught in the middle of a conspiracy. Also, there were certain details revealed by Bleeding Cool a while back, according to those reports the film would be "wild", "weird", and "action-packed"... I'm all for a Disney animated film like that, and the studio has gotten to a state where they can make the familiar and also experiment with settings/ideas that are out of 90s Disney's comfort zone.

Zootopia, as we all know, is being directed by Bolt and Tangled director Byron Howard, who is directing alongside Wreck-It Ralph's Rich Moore. What a dream combo! Co-directing is Jared Bush, who is currently the only writer of script. I'm sure more have written it, because sometimes Disney will announce a film will have only one or two writers, and then when the film comes out, we find out that there were more involved.

I'm unfamiliar with Jared Bush's work. Apparently his Penn Zero: Part-Time Hero on Disney XD is pretty decent, and that's no shock considering how good Disney TV Animation is doing these days. Coincidentally, the co-creator of that show is Sam Levine, the man who was originally going to direct Disney Animation's video game-themed adventure before it was given to Rich Moore and transformed into Wreck-It Ralph. Levine's story was called Joe Jump, and like many an animated film that goes through this, a reimagined film with the same basic idea took its place.

I wonder when we'll hear about the rest of the cast...

More 'Good Dinosaur' Goodness: New Plot Synopsis

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It's no surprise that the new, updated plot synopsis for Pixar's second release of this year has arrived today... I was predicting for a while that the film's teaser could possibly show up in front of Tomorrowland, rather than Pixar's own Inside Out...

Anyways, the new plot synopsis...

"The Good Dinosaur asks the question: What if the asteroid that forever changed life on Earth missed the planet completely and giant dinosaurs never became extinct? Pixar Animation Studios takes you on an epic journey into the world of dinosaurs where an Apatosaurus named Arlo makes an unlikely human friend. While traveling through a harsh and mysterious landscape, Arlo learns the power of confronting his fears and discovers what he is truly capable of."

A harsh and mysterious landscape? That lines up with earlier reports that said that nature would be an antagonist in the film, no different from the studio's Finding Nemo, which featured a lot of different threats but none of which were truly diabolical.

Some details are missing, making me wonder if they've been axed or if they have been kept. Earlier synopses of the film, even after the director change, mention that Arlo's family is affected by a traumatic event. Is that still set to happen in the film's first act? Perhaps, can't see why they would take it out, even with the idea of dinosaurs being Amish-esque farmers being written out.

There's so much that we don't know, and that's why I'm particularly excited for this picture at the moment. Over the years we learned about how Inside Out's world works, we learned about the characters themselves, and whatnot. After the director change, Pixar was hush-hush on this film. We know very little right now: We know the two leads, and that something bad happens to Arlo's community, and that nature is an antagonist... But where do they go through? Concept art has shown us a prehistoric coniferous forest, but that's about... There's probably so much that they aren't showing us, one can only imagine what's in store for us...

And that's good... Mystery marketing at its best. I can imagine the film being similar to Finding Nemo, and how we go from environment to environment, all of them being surprising and different from the last. In that film, we go from the reef to a sunken sub to an open area to a trench to a jellyfish forest- you get the idea. I reckon The Good Dinosaur will be similar, we see cool new locations as the film progresses. Maybe we'll see jungles, mountains, deserts...

As for the teaser and/or poster... Well again, Tomorrowland is around the corner and they can very well launch the marketing campaign when that film hits. If not, then definitely Inside Out, no two ways about it. I'm kinda hoping it gets launched before Tomorrowland hits, at this point I want to see a frame from the finished film. Or a finished render of the characters, something!

When do you think the marketing will kick in? What's your take on the new synopsis? Sound off below!

Back to Metroville: Is 'The Incredibles 2' Brad Bird's Next Project?

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With Tomorrowland's opening less than three weeks away, director/animation genius Brad Bird has given us another update on the Pixar sequel that the Internet wants...

Bird was interviewed by Collider recently, and here's what he had to say about the film's script, which he is currently writing...

“Oh yeah I have pages, a bunch of pages. I had a lot of ideas for the original Incredibles that I didn’t get a chance to use, that I like. I have ideas that I wanted to pursue a little bit and there wasn’t enough time in Incredibles. There are new ideas I have, and I think there are enough of those together to make an interesting movie. I’m just focusing on getting Tomorrowland out into the world and playing with the Incredibles sandbox again.”

I wondered back when the sequel was officially announced that Pixar and Bird could possibly use ideas that were left out of the original film. One such element that fascinated me was the fact that Syndrome wasn't going to be the villain, but instead a character named Xerek. In this early version of the film, there was no opening about the Golden Age of Supers, it began with Bob and Helen Parr settling down in suburbia, and Violet is an infant. It was a very interesting opening, one that actually could've worked, and Syndrome appears as a burglar who tries to break into the Parrs' household at night and ultimately gets killed. The crew liked that energetic character so much that Xerek, who seemed like a more traditional baddie, got the axe.

Pixar has used ideas dropped out of films in their sequels. Toy Story 2's nightmare sequence was originally intended for the first film, and some Toy Story 3 ideas came from early drafts of the previous two films, the daycare center setting being one of them and a teddy bear villain being another. Monsters University doesn't seem to use ideas from its predecessor, Cars 2's Finn McMissile is reportedly based on a idea scrapped from the first film, but that scene (McQueen and Sally going to a drive-in to watch a film about Finn McMissile) doesn't appear on the DVD or Blu-ray special features. Sometimes I think they made that up... (A lot is unclear when it comes to the production/development on Cars 2, and probably for a good reason.)

It seems like Bird's script might be a combination of scrapped stuff and brand new ideas. We shall see...

When was asked if The Incredibles 2 was his next project, he said...

“Yeah it feels like it to me, yeah.”

Some are outright assuming that this means he'll direct it. I'm not going to jump the gun just yet, because he might just mean it's his next project in terms of writing or something other than directing. Obviously he would be very committed to writing a knockout Incredibles 2 script, even if he didn't direct the film. It was never confirmed that he would direct the sequel from the get-go, and many want to know if he's helming it or not... These quotes say, to me, that the film is definitely next on his list, but directing? He could just mean writing or producing... Also, Collider's article said nothing about directing.

Also, kudos to him for focusing on Tomorrowland. The film may have ended production a while back, but he's putting his all into plugging it. He's being interviewed left and right, he's talking about it all over twitter and is attempting to get people excited, because I don't think the film's marketing is doing just that. (When people - especially people in the know about film - say that a Brad Bird film looks "generic" or "uninteresting" or whatever, you know something is very wrong with the marketing... But I already moaned about that.)

Other things he wants to do?

I wonder if those "other things" include 1906 and Ray Gunn. 1906 was a live-action project based on a novel about - you guessed it - the San Francisco earthquake, and at one time it was set to be a big, massive coproduction between Disney, Pixar, and Warner Bros.! Entering development in early 2008, it was supposed to be Bird's first live-action film, but script rewrites ensued, so Brad moved over to Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol. After finishing that, he returned to 1906, but by early 2012 he had moved onto Tomorrowland, which had gotten the go-head at Disney at the time. Disney and Pixar jumped ship on 1906 as well... It's reportedly still at Warner Bros., so there's a chance Mr. Bird goes back to that project after The Incredibles 2... Though I question the way WB is currently doing things, so we'll see what happens...

Ray Gunn, to me, is the much more interesting project. It was set to be a retro-futuristic, almost noir-like detective story. It was in development when he was at Warner Animation, where he made The Iron Giant. Bird reportedly wanted the film to be more in the PG-13 territory, which sounds right, considering how vocal he is about animation and how it should break from the family box that Hollywood normally confines it to. The Incredibles at times does just that, while still being a PG film. But it's a PG film that certainly deserves its PG, I can't say the same about a good ton of recent animated family films that somehow get that rating. (Oh no! Rude humor! Toilet humor! Someone slapped someone comically! Violence and scary parts? Ok...) There were also rumors that he would direct that at Pixar after he finished The Incredibles, but he would find himself onboard R.S.S. Ratatouille a year later when its original director departed.

If he were to go back to that film, would he be able to do it the way he wants to do it? Apparently it's meant to be a 2D film, not a CG film, and you know what Hollywood thinks of 2D. Plus, a more adult-oriented animated film that isn't something raunchy? Who's going to want to do that? Bird would probably want to do The Spirit in 2D as well, is that also on his mind right now? He did mention both The Spirit and Ray Gunn at Tribeca when he was interviewed by Janeane Garofolo. (Track down that interview and listen!)

Whatever he's got brewing, I'm sure it's going to be awesome. Let's just hope he directs The Incredibles 2, because I just can't imagine someone else directing it...

A Classic Returns: Will There Be an 'Iron Giant' Re-release?

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Brad Bird continues to talk and spill some details on things he's been working on...

Today, Collider got a very juicy piece of information regarding Bird's first animated feature, The Iron Giant...

The Iron Giant is, to me and many others out there, one of feature animation's greatest triumphs. A critically acclaimed and beloved film, it unfortunately didn't find an audience back in the summer of 1999 due to distributor Warner Bros.' disastrous marketing campaign. 6-year-old me, however, was one of the few who saw it in the theater back then. Went with my father and sister, and I remember really liking it back then. When I revisited it, I loved it even more. It's one of the best...

But the film hasn't been released on DVD for a while, and a Blu-ray release apparently wasn't going to happen as of last year. Bird said on twitter that he wanted a special release for the film, while Warner Home Video pretty much wanted a barebones disc. Seriously, how does one even think of putting The Iron Giant and "barebones disc" in the same sentence?

Apparently WB was/is unaware of how loved this film is, even with how well it did on home media in the past. They just kind of buried it... It's like the greatest animated feature you'll never hear about unless you are friends with film buffs...

Well, it looks like the film could possibly return in a big way...

Bird himself said in a video interview...

"Listen, Warner Bros. and I have danced on and off for the last decade. There was going to be a 5-year-thing; there was talk about it being in 3D at one point. Then there was talk about reformatting it for IMAX or whatever. Discussions keep happening, but I think something will happen fairly soon. They know that people have a fondness for it. They don’t know exactly how to deal with that beyond maybe a Blu-ray or something like that. And I keep saying, “You know, you did it for Wizard of Oz and you did it for Blade Runner. I think you actually can do it.” And I think they’re kind of coming around to that idea. I’m trying to find the best way to support something like that."

Well that's good to know, though it doesn't necessarily mean that WB will re-release the film to theaters, though I feel that a big screen re-release of some form needs to happen. Even in this day and age of home media and streaming and whatnot...

Collider's own Steve "Frosty" Weintraub "tried to push a little harder on the release strategy for the film and inferred that a small re-release would come this year before a Blu-ray."

Bird responded with "I wouldn’t say ‘later this year’ because people might hold you to it. These things take a little more time—They will happen in good time. Just say that things are looking up for Iron Giant."

Excellent!

He then detailed the alternate ways to re-release it if a full-blown theatrical re-release ends up being rejected by WB...

"Going back into the movie theater can mean a lot of things. It could mean a studio re-release. It could mean a smaller re-release like Wizard of Oz 3D. It could mean as small a release as a Fathom Event where they show it one night only. So that whole arena is changing and becoming a much more flexible arena. So when it becomes that flexible, it becomes less scary to a studio because they’re hemmed into one, super-expensive, risky thing. They can try it a number of different ways. I think the main thing Warner Bros. has to hear is that there’s an audience for it.

"When people went back and saw Lion King because it was in 3D, I think the 3D was just a thing to throw them a bone. I think actually a lot of people just wanted to see it in a theater again and be around other people while they saw it. Part of the attraction of movies is not just a big screen. It’s being with strangers and sharing a dream at the same moment. Anything that kind of bolsters the confidence in the theatrical experience I think is good. I would love to see Iron Giant get back into theaters even if only for a week."

I agree with Mr. Bird there, The Lion King 3D did so well because it was The Lion King... On the big screen, plain and simple. The 3D was just the cherry on top, plus Lion King had been sitting in the vault for six years until the re-release came about. There was a real incentive to see it, but for other 3D re-releases, not so much...

At the same time, I feel that The Iron Giant deserves a full-blown theatrical re-release or a very good Blu-ray release. Maybe they can do Fathom screenings or a limited re-release to test the waters, to see if people will turn up for the film. Like Bird said, WB needs to hear that there is an "audience for it", because there definitely can be. Those who missed it would probably really like it, and if you sold it to them properly, who knows... It could be something of a hit!

Maybe the time is right, maybe it's got something in it that'll appeal to audiences today, who knows! What if... What if... This film was re-released today, given a full-blown re-release and almost treated kind of like a new event film? How many non-film fans out there know about The Iron Giant? The previous home media edition - the DVD - came out in 2004. I have no idea how many units it sold, but there are probably a lot of kids out there who haven't heard of it. Again... How much of the general public knows this film exists?

If they can somehow get Bird's first film back to the big screen, we'll certainly all be happy campers. With a re-release, it can certainly find a new audience and be a bigger success than it ever was. Sometimes that happens, as Bird pointed out when he mention the likes of The Wizard of Oz and Blade Runner. Sometimes some films are meant to shine during their second, non-theatrical life...

However, I'm not going to jump the gun just yet... I'll simply go by what Bird said: "Just say that things are looking up for Iron Giant"...

Dark Marvel

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With Avengers: Age of Ultron now out and blasting the box office at every turn, once again we've seen the rise of Marvel Studios' detractors and their complaints. We've seen numerous think pieces on why the studio and their model is destroying cinema, why these films are bad, why you shouldn't like them, yadda yadda yadda...

It gets a little worse though...

Kevin Feige recently held a Q&A on Reddit, here are some things he had reportedly said about the MCU's future and if it will "go dark" or not...

"There is no dark turn in the MCU. [Feige] says every year fans come up to him and ask him if this movie is when the MCU goes “dark” or takes a “dark” turn. He said while the trailers may seem ominous or have a sense of impending doom, the movies do not have that feel, and will not. He said he “Hoped people would catch on by now” – there will be no giant dark turns in the MCU where it then continues to head in that direction. The humor is in the DNA of the movies, there are no plans to change that."

Immediately, it was taken out of context thanks to people wanting to jump to conclusions, and film sites looking for hits.

However, /Film had some integrity. Their writer Germain Lussier put:

"He doesn’t mean dark things won’t happen in the films. People can die, there can be destruction, tragedy, etc. But the overall tone of the films won’t change. There won’t be some kind of big shift down a more realistic, serious path."

So much to talk about here, as Marvel's detractors often criticize their films for being too jokey or too goofy or not "adult" enough...

Then of course, DC is brought up... But what does Feige mean when he says "dark"?

Does he mean graphic violence and massive amounts of deaths? Does he mean always doom-n-gloomy in tone? Or does he mean serious or bad things happening despite the good?

It can't be the latter, because for all the humor and fun that defines the Marvel Cinematic Universe, there is a lot of seriousness. Avengers: Age of Ultron dives into the fears and psyches of the gang, and deals with the ramifications of being superheroes - especially Bruce Banner's issue. There's Banner trying to cope with what he does and what harm he can possibly bring, all tying in wonderfully with Black Widow's dark past (the romance between the two was more than just a romance). Guardians of the Galaxy opens with the main character's mother dying of cancer, and what's worse, he witnesses it when he's a child! It's a big reason why the film has its slick 70s and 80s soundtrack, and the death definitely factors into the film's climax in a very touching way. Yes, in a weird sci-fi movie with gun-toting space raccoons and talking trees, there's palpable danger and there's sadness. It's not like it's all fun and games.

Look at Captain America: The Winter Soldier. Called the best of the MCU films by many, it deals with Cap adjusting to the modern world, realizing who you can trust and not trust, and the whole HYDRA reveal certainly rams the latter theme home with finesse whilst being a commentary on our world today. Steve Rogers is also a guy who has lost it all: His sweetheart from the 1940s is on her deathbed, his best friend has been preserved but brainwashed into a lethal assassin, oh... And in the future he's not going to get along with the son of Howard Stark. He already has something of a rocky relationship with Tony, ever since The Avengers!

It's not like Marvel's films are sunshine, lollipops, and rainbows. They still carry PG-13 ratings, they still have death and destruction, they still have emotional moments...

They even handle the big fx action sequences well...

In fact, I'd say The Avengers subverts the big blockbuster despite being one of the biggest blockbusters. During the third act climax, so much emphasis is put on saving as much civilians as possible during the Chitauri invasion. So the fun of the fight is balanced with this, and it adds so much to the battle, and it makes the heroes even more likable. You see that despite their differences, they are humble and will do whatever it takes to do the right thing. Not like the brainless destruction and disregard for people in Man of Steel's overlong, overcooked third act. Avengers: Age of Ultron continues this theme when the Sokovian city and its people are in grave danger, also during the Hulk out in Johannesburg, and the Seoul train scene. They put the people first, more so in this film than the last one...

I think Feige means that they won't take an overly dark path and stay on that path... No super-depressing storylines, no gratuitous violence, no "dark for dark's sake" stuff. The last couple of Marvel films more than make me confident in the future of the series. Like the Redditor said, there will be death, there will be tragedy, it's just the tone that won't radically change for good.

What is Marvel's overall tone?

I think it's a combination of fun and that sense of wonder you would want from a fantasy or sci-fi film...

Some people, I notice, seem to misinterpret the word "fun". Fun means enjoyable, if you go to see a film that you had a blast watching, you were having "fun", regardless of how light or dark the movie is. I've had loads of fun watching all kinds of movies from different genres, and that fun comes from being engaged in the story, the characters, and caring about what's going on. What's wrong with that again?

However, the way some talk, you would think that fun = goofiness. Adam West Batman-esque antics! Cartoony slapstick! Stupidity!

Richard Donner's Superman films were fun. Tim Buron's Batman films were fun. Sam Raimi's Spider-Man trilogy was fun. Christopher Nolan's significantly darker and weighty Dark Knight saga was fun. The list goes on... All dealt with darker ideas and had weight to them. Why were they fun? Because their stories enthralled us! Something like Adam West's Batman is fun because it does something that pleases us in a way that's different from those sets of films I've listed, fun can mean many things: Whether it's a comedy or a drama or something lighthearted or something heavy...

Something that isn't fun is a movie like Batman & Robin, despite the fact that its tone is super-goofy, there's jokes aplenty, and it's over-the-top. But Batman & Robin's corporate BS, forgettable story, lame comedy, and lack of passion can be smelt from a mile away, right from the very beginning of the film. Coming off of the mixed bag that was Batman Forever, it rightfully pissed fans off. Batman Forever was WB's response to the outcry over how supposedly "dark"Batman Returns was (which was still a very fun film, to me), and this was even worse. People disliked it and rightfully so, it had nothing to do with being "fun". It was just bad and thoroughly lazy, it felt like a Batman story written by a group that was only interested in selling toys.

(Funny how WB used to be all about making things less dark, now they fetishize what they think is dark, and super-seriousness.)

So why are we equating "fun"/"enjoyment" with campiness and campiness alone? Don't you have fun when you watch a film you really like? I don't get it...

Marvel Cinematic Universe, I think, strikes a fine balance with their films. No, their films aren't exactly masterpieces, and I don't think they're trying to be. One may argue that this isn't progressive for superheroes or comic book movies, but a lot of fans like what Marvel's doing because above all, they're trying to give the viewers an entertaining experience with a story they'll get into and characters they will like, sympathize with, root for, etc. They want to do what they want to do, but the right way. If something's amazing at what it does, why slant it? Not every film can be the same exact thing or have the same exact goals. What Marvel is doing is hardly "contempt" for the audience, like some thinkpiece or two will whine.

It's not like Marvel keeps itself confined to the "entertaining blockbuster" box. Like I said earlier, Guardians has a real emotional core, Winter Soldier has a story arc that isn't happy-dappy, Tony Stark is haunted by his past in Iron Man 3, we lose Thor's mother in The Dark World, Avengers: Age of Ultron deals with a plethora of different things that gives the characters a lot of depth, especially Black Widow and Iron Man. On second viewing, I was a bit shocked by how complex the story was this time around. On first viewing I just saw "the Avengers team up again", but the next viewing, I saw much more. It's definitely more psychological than the other MCU films, and it's emotional at times too, deals with some strong subject matter, it's intimate even... Hardly just "silly stuff" in my book. I reckon the critics who gave it negative scores need to watch it again, it's not a film that you can absorb in one sitting...

Without a doubt things will go down once we get to Phase 3. I don't think they'll take Captain America: Civil War too lightly, and we'll dive into the supernatural horror of Doctor Strange afterwards and see the Asgardian apocalypse unravel in Thor: Ragnarok. To say nothing of Infinity War.

Again, I think Mr. Feige means that the MCU won't go super-dark and stay that way, like some might want. A specific kind of dark where everything, everything is bad. These stories will remain good-vs-evil stories with some complexities thrown in, enough to satisfy many. The darker side of Marvel will indeed exist, and has been kept for the small screen, the Netflix likes of Daredevil, and that show doesn't mess around. Neither, I presume, will A.K.A. Jessica Jones, Luke Cage, and Iron Fist.

Also, a more realistic, serious path... I think that means hyper-realistic, rather than "true to life". Again, there is death and tragedy and negative things happening in the MCU. No "gritty" or "grounded" stuff, it'll be fantastical. After all, we have Guardians of the Galaxy, Doctor Strange, to say nothing of demigods, aliens, a guy who can turn into a green giant, etc. etc. It's going to continue to embrace that inherent wackiness, but still treat these stories like they are stories.

I think that's what they mean. There can be seriousness and dark elements, but it won't ever be overly serious or overly dark... It certainly won't be like Man of Steel and possibly future DC Cinematic Universe installments, which seem to dislike enjoyment/fun altogether. We're only one film into that series, and that film feels like a bad clone of Christopher Nolan's masterful Dark Knight trilogy. Batman v Superman has an impressively put-together trailer, but the film looks like it could be more of the same. I'm hoping for a film that's dark, mysterious, epic, and enthralling, not something like Man of Steel, which was anything but all of that.

As for humor...

Some say the MCU films overdo the humor aspect and that's understandable. For me they only went too far in Iron Man 2 and Avengers: Age of Ultron, but I think it's good to have a healthy dose of humor that fits. Most of the time, I think they get it down pat. Po-faced super-seriousness with a few jokes that feel like token jokes is the other extreme that I think DC shouldn't go to. I don't want super-jokey a la Adam West Batman, nor do I want super-serious. I want balance. The MCU usually does it, The Dark Knight trilogy did it too.

I think the MCU will continue balancing the light and dark quite well, but will continue to tell really good stories that are uniquely their own. As for what those think pieces are saying, that's another story for another day. I think many of them seem to want the MCU films to be something to their liking, or they just are upset that the MCU has gotten this far. Either that, or they don't pay attention to these films and all they see is spectacle. I see more than that, and so do many critics, writers, and fans... But again, that's another story for another day.

About Time!: 'Ratchet & Clank' Gets Distributor and US Release Date

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The wait is finally over!

The film based on the long-running Insomniac video game series Ratchet & Clank is going to be released domestically by Focus Features, the distributor of LAIKA's films. When?

April 29, 2016... This date will coincide with the release of the next Ratchet & Clank game, a reboot that reimagines the first game in the series.

First of all... A full year away? The film is all but complete and is screening at Cannes tomorrow. There's plenty of spaces this year that they can release it in. I guess it must be a right things, perhaps they can't release it right away due some kind of issue. Or maybe the film isn't finished yet and the Cannes screening was just a "show it to potential investors" kind of thing.

Also, why is Sony not distributing?

Lastly... April 29, 2016 is one week before Marvel and Disney launch The Avengers 2.5, I mean Captain America: Civil War! Wouldn't you want to give this film a little more breathing room before the juggernaut comes crashing in?

It's arguably targeting the same audience too, so why not give it some time to breathe? You know everyone's going to flock to see Captain America fight Iron Man while most of the other Avengers are present. Video game movies don't have a good track record at the domestic box office, mostly because of lot of the films looked bad and were bad. However, I see box office potential in a Ratchet & Clank film and if it does well - i.e. more than double its probably good-sized budget - then we could possibly see more animated films based on video games...

Yeah, I don't like this release date. Big shock. Maybe it's tentative, I don't know, I hope it is.

However, I am super-happy that it has a distributor and will be getting a theatrical release. It's been a long time since we've really heard anything about this film other than Cannes announcement, and Sony I think should've announced a date change some time ago because we kept hearing "2015" or "Q1 2015". I also wonder what's going on with the Sly Cooper movie they announced a while ago...

Anyways, at last, Ratchet & Clank will get a domestic theatrical release!

Treasure Trove: Disney Animation Short Film Collection Blu-ray Announced!

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Yes, that's right, a Blu-ray set containing Walt Disney Animation Studios' recent shorts is coming! Stitch Kingdom got the news earlier today...

When is it being released? August 18th!

I knew this was coming, because my Disney comrade Tyler Kelson met visual development artist Brittney Lee (who will, alongside visdev artist Lorelay Bove, have a major role in one of Disney Animation's 2018 releases) at a Con a while back, and she told him that a set was in the works...

Naturally, I got super-excited at that hint!

Also, one of Stitch Kingdom's readers got the cover artwork. Looks exactly like the covers for the Pixar Short Films Collections, though those didn't have a character or two taking up a good portion of the main cover... But it's obvious that Frozen Fever is being heavily emphasized, because what better way to sell a collection of shorts than with Frozen characters all over the box?


But look closely at the cover... What do you see?

Second one from the left... That's Lorenzo!

What's Lorenzo?

A Mike Gabriel-directed short film that the studio made in 2004. It was shown at festivals and was attached to the Touchstone film Raising Helen, but it was never released on home media. Lorenzo, along with a few other shorts, were at one point going to be used to make a new Fantasia film, often dubbed Fantasia 2006... But that never happened.

The other shorts in question were Destino, One By One, and The Little MatchgirlDestino is the posthumous completion of Walt Disney and Salvador Dali's abandoned project, and it's a real marvel. It was eventually released on home media in 2010 on the Fantasia 70th Anniversary Edition. Now, Fantasia/Fantasia 2000 was originally going to be a Diamond Edition, and all of those Fantasia 2006 shorts would've been on the set, a section or disc called "Fantasia World"... But that never happened.

So I can only hope, even though One By One and The Little Match Girl were given home media releases before (the former is on the DVD of The Lion King 2, and the latter is on the 2006 Platinum Edition DVD of The Little Mermaid), that those are also included on the set along with Destino.

What else? Well, if they're going to include those 2003-2006 era shorts, how about the 2000 Mark Henn-directed short John Henry that appears on the Disney compilation VHS/DVD Disney's American Legends? How about Runaway Brain? Or am I asking for too much with that one?

What else?

There's also Chris Williams'Glago's Guest, which was supposed to be attached to Bolt in theaters at one point, but it didn't happen and the short disappeared altogether. Tick Tock Tale was directed by Dean Wellins and was supposedly set to play before Tangled in theaters, but alas that didn't happen either. Those are both rarely seen, I think they were only shown at festivals and that's it.

Then there's also the wonderful Goofy short How To Hook Up Your Home Theater. Outside of being available on iTunes, it hasn't seen a physical release. That 2007 short was attached to National Treasure: Book of Secrets, and that's the only thing I remember from the night I saw that flick... That, and the WALL-E trailer.

So will this be the line-up? I hope so...

Runaway Brain (1995) - *the obligatory me-asking-for-too-much inclusion*
John Henry (2000)
Destino (2003)
Lorenzo (2004)
One By One (2004)
The Little Match Girl (2006)
How To Hook Up Your Home Theater (2007)
Glago's Guest (2008)
Tick Tock Tale (2010)
The Ballad of Nessie (2011)
Tangled Ever After (2012)
Paperman (2012)
Get A Horse! (2013)
Feast (2014)
Frozen Fever (2015)

Bits Journal #44

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An updated Moana plot synopsis has come about, but it's not too different from the one we've known for a little while. (via fellow Rotoscoper Gary)

Three thousand years ago, the greatest sailors in the world voyaged across the vast South Pacific, discovering the many islands of Oceania. But then, for a millennium, their voyages stopped — and no one today knows why.

From Walt Disney Animation Studios comes Moana, a sweeping, CG-animated adventure about a spirited teenager who sails out on a daring mission to prove herself a master wayfinder and fulfill her ancestors’ unfinished quest. During her journey, she meets the once-mighty demi-god Maui (voice of Dwayne Johnson), and together, they traverse the open ocean on an action-packed voyage, encountering enormous fiery creatures and impossible odds.


So now we have an idea of why Moana is setting sail in the first place. Very good, very good. Reasonable, makes a lot of sense...

However, fiery creatures and impossible odds? What about the "breathtaking underworlds" that were mentioned in the older plot synopsis? Hope those have been kept. It's possible that the new synopsis is just meant to give a basic idea of the movie's plot, but remember Zootopia's new plot synopsis was significantly different the previous one. You know, the rabbit character Judy Hopps going from arrogant lieutenant to "optimistic", aspiring cop... And also the absence of the idea of Hopps and Nick Wilde being in the middle of a massive conspiracy.

Maybe I'm speculating or worrying too much, but let's hope they keep a lot of the things we've heard in early reports about these films...


Tomorrowland has a worrying rather 67% on Rotten Tomatoes right now...

That's right, Brad Bird's latest not garnering critical praise...

Now it's not the number itself, really. All it means is this: 67% of critics gave it a positive review... However...

Many reviewers and bloggers, even ones who were overall positive about the film, are saying all kinds of things: "It's dull", "Its story isn't very good", "The third act is disastrous", "Has good ideas but isn't all that good in the end"...

I see others saying it suffers from writer Damon Lindelof's supposed "curse". Lindelof has a history of making very divisive things, whether it's the ending of LOST or a film like Prometheus or the critically adored but widely-hated-on-the-Internet Star Trek Into Darkness. But he also helped retool World War Z's third act, the very third act that I think saved that whole film. I also liked Star Trek Into Darkness a lot, but as a solid space action film. I confess I've never seen Prometheus, or LOST, so I can't quite say what I truly think of Mr. Lindelof's full resume...

On a side note, Tomorrowland began development in mid-2011. Lindelof was already working on the script, and Bird was brought onboard to direct in early 2012, mere months after Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol opened, so it wasn't really Mr. Bird's project from the start...

At the same time, I'm seeing a lot of non-blogger/reviewer types saying that it's very good, if not excellent! Maybe the critics will be wrong on this one? Or maybe their reviews are just that... Their reviews. I think sometimes on the Internet, people tend to go by what the critics say instead of going by what they think. You know critics like Roger Ebert? They went by what they saw of a movie. Roger Ebert infamously gave an acclaimed masterpiece like Brazil a low score, but that says nothing about his knowledge of film.

Something tells me that some people side with critics in an attempt to make themselves look like they know what makes a good film, but in the end... It's really subjective! And sometimes critics' tastes change over time. You should go by what you personally felt and what you think worked. Hey, you probably know what makes a good or great film, right?

My prediction?

This is going one of those very films that polarizes critics, splits them right down the middle. I reckon it'll be similar to the likes of Blade Runner and such, films that didn't get the best reception back in the day but ultimately stood the test of time, and were appreciated more and more.

I have a gut feeling that I myself am going to love this film and consider it to be a good film. A friend of mine who saw it gave me this rather telling hint...


I'm going to go by that...

On the bright side, it's projected to open with around $50 million for the four-day Memorial Day weekend frame. Pretty damn good, I must say, and here I thought the marketing wouldn't have worked, but who knows. Them unpredictable audiences!

Update (5/18/2015): Now at 76%, far less worrying. A barrage of more positive reviews came in earlier this morning. Really positive reviews come from Total Film, Empire, The List, and Little White Lies, and we're at 16 positive reviews against 5 negative reviews. However, some of those "fresh" reviews are still a little on the mixed side and have given the film scores in the 6/10 and 7/10 range. Metacritic hasn't counted all 16 reviews yet, but they have it at a good spot.

Again, we shall see. I have a feeling it's going to split critics.

Update (5/20/2015): Now done to 58%. Some pretty negative ones crept in...


This weekend I checked out a little movie called Mad Max: Fury Road...

Believe most of the hype, it's truly an amazing action film that's just what the blockbuster world needs outside of a few good blockbusters.

What does it have to offer? Well, look past the crazy action for a second and you'll see that under the war machine car hood is a beating heart, top-notch writing, awesome characters, and a breakout character who could very well headline her own film. You know who I'm talking about, don't you? Furiosa, thanks to a knockout performance from a breakout Charlize Theron and the writing itself, is pretty much the best character in this film. She sets a high bar for female characters in Hollywood films, being an excellent character that's handled just right. She's not a stereotype, she's not your typical contrived female character that Hollywood fetishizes, she's very much likable, has quite a presence onscreen, and is... *GASP*... A character!

The cinematography is some of the best I've seen in a blockbuster as of late, with wonderfully realized action and great shots of the desert setting. Visually it's lovely to look at, and the vehicles? Oh the vehicles! Awesome as expected! The film has no hesitation to be bizarro, it gleefully goes over the top, what with things like a vehicle with cartoonishly huge amplifiers and a guy rocking a 12-string guitar/flamethrower... But it marries that craziness to thoughtful storytelling, it's serious enough and doesn't feel like a tonal mess. How director George Miller was able to balance both the zany side and the deeper side so effectively is nothing short of amazing.

It's big, beautiful, bonkers, badass, the whole shebang! This isn't a typical "go see it for some entertainment" blockbuster, it's a lot more. Even if you're not familiar with Mad Max or haven't seen any of the films, I reckon you'll really like it...

That all being said, I think some are getting a little too hyped over it. It's an excellent blockbuster, yes, but I think a lot of people are using to spite the kind of movies they personally don't like...

Most of that attitude is being aimed at the Marvel Cinematic Universe movies. We've seen so many "think pieces" lately on why Marvel is killing cinema or why Marvel movies are flawed or why Marvel movies will never be good, and so on and so forth... And I see some folks siding with this movie, because it's mostly to "their" liking, and they are using its high quality to put down the MCU and other blockbuster-type movies that they aren't big on. The sort of "See? Now this is awesome! Who needs that Marvel trash anyway?" Some are even hoping this film outright destroys comic book movies in general...

The blockbuster always gets a bad rap, and it's because of poorly-received films. It also gets a bad rap because they are mostly the products of a big studio, rather than auteurs. A good amount of blockbusters often just blow crap up and call it a day, and it's reasonable to want something better because a blockbuster can certainly be smart and compelling. I sense a sort of "there aren't blockbusters like this!" mentality in some reviews of this film, when last summer had a critical darling like Edge of Tomorrow, to say nothing of the normally good reception that Marvel movies get. Other blockbusters in the last few years have gotten good, if not great reception too. Mad Max: Fury Road, however, really sets a high bar and that is certainly good. That should be celebrated. But can we please not use it to knock down blockbusters that are good but not as good? Instead of "yeah, down with Marvel superheroes and comic books and shit, this is a REAL blockbuster!" snark, how about "Let's hope future blockbusters take cues from this movie" reactions?

Then again spiting movies and being dismissive of certain kinds of movies is a sexier thing to do on the Internet.

I'll just say this. I loved Mad Max: Fury Road, but I love what I consider the best Marvel Cinematic Universe films for different reasons, along with recent blockbusters that have gotten things right. If you don't like things like the MCU films and think they could be better, fine... But I think the snark and whining has gotten a bit annoying. There's having your opinion, and then there's being pushy. I can certainly say that those think pieces are the latter.

Even more frustrating is the reaction to this film's opening weekend gross.

Look, I know this movie cost around $150 million to make, and probably a crapload to market... I get that.

$44 million out of the gate, however, is quite impressive considering that the highest grossing Mad Max entry adjusted is Mad Max Beyond Thunderdome... With $82 million tops. Let's not forget that it just opened, and it will probably get good legs considering how great it is. Deadline yakked about its potential 3.2x multiplier not being enough or whatever, implying that the movie tripped out of the gate and there's no going back, but why are we totally disregarding the international box office?

This jumping to conclusions nonsense is everything I dislike about how box office is often reported. It's why I worry about upcoming movies that I hope will do well in the end...

This film just opened overseas with over $60 million, which to me indicates that the film will have a strong run in other countries if not a great run. Hey, a recent crazy action movie about cars just made $1.1 billion overseas alone, why can't this be an international smash too? I'm not saying Fury Road will definitely perform like Furious 7 overseas, but I can see it doing really well. $250 million sounds like the floor, combine that with $130 million domestically and you get... Let's see... $380 million. More than twice the budget! I think it can go higher though, I think word of mouth will spread. If it doesn't, well then, I'll eat crow.

A good chunk of the reporting world likes the bark and scream "FLOP!" when something opens a certain way, not thinking about legs or worldwide grosses. I think it's annoying, I prefer to wait and see unless the film really has no chances at doubling its budget, all things considered. However, I think this film has the potential to do some excellent business...

In the end, see Mad Max: Fury Road as soon as you can, try not to worry about Tomorrowland too much, and tell me what you think of Moana's revised synopsis...

More About The Dinos: 'Good Dinosaur' Details and Character Designs Surface

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Could it be? More Good Dinosaur details and some character designs?

My good friend Ben over at Everything Pixar found these tonight... They appear to be illustrations that'll appear on the film's merchandise...

Oh wait, I can't show them anymore. My comrades at the Rotoscopers noticed that Disney wasn't taking too well to these "pirated" images being leaked... So if you missed them, and if they aren't on Everything Pixar, here are some descriptions...

Arlo and Spot look just like their concept art counterparts, plus the illustration is what appears on the "Roarin' River" board game that was spotted at the New York ToyFair by Stitch Kingdom three months ago...


Then there were three T-rex designs, two of which are featured on the board game above...

I particularly liked the design of the never-before-seen T-rex, who seems a bit more menacing and less comical-looking. I still wonder what role they'll play in the film's story...

Remember when it was said that nature would be a primary antagonist in this film? Well, I assume that these guys will simply be hungry T-rexes and not outright baddies. Earlier, I had speculated that The Good Dinosaur would be a bit Finding Nemo-esque, a journey where two friends encounter all sorts of faces and environments, and deal with the harshness of nature as well. I can imagine Arlo and Spot encountering several dinosaurs that want to eat them, no different from those who wanted to eat Marlin and Dory. That all being said, their designs are neat and they keep in line with the more cartoony aesthetic that the studio is going for.

As Ben pointed out on his blog, the designs in the actual film may end up looking different, while these might be for the merchandise only. However, Arlo and Spot's designs line up with the concept art. Then again, concept art is concept art. I'd assume the two leads will look almost exactly like the images that Pixar chose to show us. Either way, it's great to get more glimpses at this film. Pixar has been keeping it in the dark whilst focusing heavily on Inside Out, which is currently garnering excellent reviews (and the inevitable "Pixar has returned to form!" nonsense) and is poised to be one of the year's best films.

I just want to see some full renders! The trailer most likely isn't showing up before Tomorrowland this weekend as I and others had guessed earlier, it appears that we'll be getting another Inside Out trailer instead. So yeah, I now expect it to debut before Inside Out. Why wouldn't it?

As for the "2016" date on the final image... I think that image is for a calendar. Or, since these images came from a French animation-centric Tumblr blog, the "2016" could refer to the film's French release date. Either way, it's definitely opening here in the states on November 25th.

What do you think of the T-rex designs? Do you think these particular designs are for merchandise only? Sound off below!

Cannes Coverage: More Disney Animation and Pixar Details

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Lots of Disney Animation and Pixar goodness was revealed at Cannes recently!

I was rather shocked at how much was revealed at Cannes yesterday from Walt Disney Pictures. I was thinking they'd save previews like the ones they have shown for Annecy next month, but attendants got first looks at Zootopia, Moana, The Good Dinosaur, Finding Dory, and even some words about Toy Story 4!



The Good Dinosaur footage was met with really good marks, Variety says that the footage was "like a cross between Tarzan and Lilo & Stitch"... Whoa, a Pixar film that feels like those two films? Sign me up! The article goes on to reveal a few major plot points, some of which I won't spoil here. Let's just say that one of the spoilers concerns that "traumatic event" that shakes Arlo's community of apatosaurs. Another explains how Arlo gets separated from his home: He's stunned after getting hit by a rock whilst being carried away by a raging river. The review also confirmed what we already seemed to know, the boy Spot is like an animal and doesn't speak, but also... Arlo stands upright. Interesting, in some of the concept pieces he was walking on all fours...

There will also be a trio of T-rexes in the film, along with a pterodactyl and a feathered velociraptor. The raptors, with their "shaggy" hairdos, were said to have been modeled after famous soccer/football players. If you were quick, you got a glimpse at the very T-rex trio yesterday. If not, take a close look at the board game based on the film that was shown at the New York Toy Fair.

A lot of praise went towards the animation as well, apparently it'll be Pixar's most realistic film to date. Though I may have an issue with animation studios chasing hyper-realism, I liked how Pixar handled their brand of it in Monsters University. Thankfully Inside Out's brain world is much more cartoony and colorful, so this will be a nice contrast to that.

Over at Collider, they got a tidbit from director Pete Sohn. He said the film will be "striving for a very unique tone, unlike any animated film made."

WHOA.


Finding Dory's footage revealed some cool things and also confirmed things we already knew...

Instead of taking place a year later, this sequel takes place six months after the original. As we knew before, Dory is with Nemo in school and has a flashback that convinces her to go find her family. Marlin and Nemo accompany her on her journey. Pixar is making sure that the sequel isn't a rehash of the original, so Dory isn't being taken away and they don't have to find her. That's one thing that Pixar certainly does right with sequels, even if you're not big on the last sequels they put out.

The adventure will take the gang to an area of dumped shipping containers, and a kelp forest, the latter of which should make for a visual knock-out. They'll also encounter a giant squid, an encounter described by Variety as "frightening". New faces include an octopus - according to Deadline - named Hank, who is a guide in the Californian marine biology institute where I presume a good chunk of the film will take place. Dory's parents were shown during the presentation too, along with a gang of loons, whom Lasseter described as this film's equivalent of the hilarious seagulls in the original. Let's hope they aren't too alike!

But why did Variety's writer feel the need to ask at the end of his review "But will it be better than Cars 2?"

Toy Story 4? No footage. Just Lasseter saying what was said by Pixar President Jim Morris: It won't be a continuation of the main story, it's its own thing, etc. etc.

Moving on to Walt Disney Animation Studios.


Some Zootopia footage was shown, though there wasn't much commentary on how the animation itself looked, and I know shots have been completed. Maybe it was mostly storyboard stuff?

Variety spills more details on the plot itself. Lt. Judy Hopps is a cop, but she's "sidelined" and is now taking up a rather boring job as a meter maid, all because she's the first ever rabbit on the police force. This ties into the themes of prejudice that have been hinted at quite nicely, what with animals of different species living in the film's titular metropolis. It seems that some ideas from the oldest synopsis have definitely been kept. Hope the conspiracy angle is kept too!

Not much else was said aside from some gags, including one set at a DMV staffed with sloths! A particular exchange with one of the sloth character was said to have been really funny, getting howls from the crowd. Variety's writer seemed a bit dismissive to me when it came to this film, giving the footage a B- overall (why grade a few mere minutes of footage when it would probably work even better in context in the actual film?) and saying "But the story is still a question mark: it could be great, or it could be something out of Disney Afternoon’s DuckTales or Darkwing Duck."

I think that applies to many films: Will the story be good?

And what's exactly wrong with something that's similar to those two classic shows? As long as it feels like them in a good way and ultimately has good, smart writing, I don't think there's much to worry about.


Moana also made quite the splash.

Apparently its opening musical number will be epic and huge, and will begin the film with a real bang, no different from The Lion King's 'Circle of Life'! Wow!

More plot details? One's kind of a spoiler, unless Disney outright says it in a trailer, but Moana has more than one animal friend. Earlier, we heard reports of her bringing her pig (now named Pua) along for the ride, now we know she's bringing a rooster named Hei with her. They'll probably be the Maximus of the film, or the Sven. Non-speaking animal friends. Hopefully the comic relief scenes with them are done right. Then again I shouldn't be asking that, Maximus and Pascal were hilarious and not out of place in Tangled, unlike - in my opinion - Flit, Meeko, and Percy in Pocahontas.

No word on the talking tiki sidekick that was rumored earlier, though.

Another plot detail? Moana sets sail against her father's wishes, and ends up another island, where she meets the demigod Maui (who will be voiced by Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson). No word on other voices, or who is writing the songs, or anything else...

No comments were made on Moana's except rendering of the ocean, which was described as a character in itself, and that the renderings got a real reaction! I presume animation work on this film hasn't even begun...

All in all very exciting stuff! I'm sure we'll hear more about some of these projects at Annecy next month, all in preparation of what will probably be a knock-out presentation at D23 in August. Zootopia and Moana sound more and more awesome, Finding Dory's looking better, and The Good Dinosaur sounds amazing!

'Tis a good time for Disney Animation and Pixar, I say...

The World of Tomorrow Is Bright: A 'Tomorrowland' Review

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SPOILERS AHEAD!

Tomorrowland is definitely one of those "see it for yourself" films...

I tend to think that sometimes, on the internet, people tend to side with critics when it comes to deciding on what to see in theaters. What to shell out a good, hard-earned $10+ for. When you see a certain film get marks that aren't quite satisfying, you may say "Gonna skip this one"... But here's the thing, what if you were to enjoy it yourself?

I had this with two recent live-action Disney films that didn't happen to be Alice in Wonderland or Maleficent or Cinderella. One was a sequel to a Disney live-action classic that I love, the other is a Pixarian's live-action directorial debut...

Those films were TRON: Legacy and John Carter of Mars. Much was said about the former's bad script, the nonexistent story, and whatnot. What I saw was a really fun, very lovingly made tribute to the original TRON. Sure it was fanservice out the wazoo, sure it had world building that overshadowed the storyline, sure it was a bit on the bland side. I can acknowledge those faults, I thought TRON: Legacy was really more of an action flick than a continuation of what worked so well in TRON... As an action film that's really just TRON: Tribute, it works well. I absolutely love it.

John Carter of Mars received mixed marks too, and some of those complaints are true to me. The pacing in that film was not very good, with another editor or someone else on board, it could've been shaped into something rock solid. That all being said, it still had a great lead character, a real sense of fun, enough emotion to connect, and a really cool world. It was very old-school and pulpy, and what it did right, it did really right! Far from mediocre, if you ask me.

Tomorrowland... Brad Bird's newest film... I'm going to say that the same thing applies here, but I feel that Bird's film is overall better than both of those two films.

Not knowing too much about how the film's rather controversial co-writer works (I've only seen two Lindelof works, both of which I liked: Star Trek Into Darkness and World War Z), I didn't have a problem with the story or its supposed "mystery box" approach. I for one liked that, I liked how it kept me in the dark and revealed little things as it progressed. It made for a lot of twists and surprises, because why know every single thing about the film's titular setting from the get go? They showed just enough in its first ten minutes, leaving me thinking... "What happened? What else is going on with this world?"

I personally like that.

So, our characters... We have cynical, hardened inventor and former dreamer Frank Walker. George Clooney knocks it out of park, doing a fine job in combining grumpiness and sincerity. You feel for him when we learn about what happened, we see why he's bitter, and it all works well by the time the third act rolls in. Casey Newton is the exact opposite, she's optimistic but ultimately confused about the craziness that unravels before her. Britt Robertson, like Clooney, does really well in the role. A lot of the humor and banter between the two, and the enigmatic Athena (played by Raffey Cassidy), adds a lot of fun to the already twisty-turny script and story.

The film avoids grit at many costs, even when it presents a rather rundown Tomorrowland towards the end. Here is a story that is steeped in optimism, and it dares to go toe-to-toe with the negativity of the world, and by extension the films that fetishize that negativity and cynicism. Instead it loudly champions dreamers, whilst really condemning the opposite. I can definitely see how this would really not sit well with some people, as the message does seem rather contradictory at first, but I think the film is ultimately trying to ask... Why are we all about negativity?

It actually reminds me of a song that Donald Fagen (for those who don't know, he is one of the forces behind a rock band that was big in the 1970s, Steely Dan) wrote and recorded after the band he was in broke up. The name of the song is 'New Frontier', and it's a great snapshot of the optimism that was prevalent in the late 1950s/early 1960s "space age". The very space age aesthetic that Brad Bird went for in The Iron Giant and The Incredibles, very similar to The Jetsons' view of the future. Problem is, that song was released in 1982... Where did those dreams go? Why are we not at that future?

Bird's film is all about that, and it really lets you know it. I've seen some say the message was preachy. Sure it was on the nose from time to time, the script could've been a little more subtle about it, but here's my answer... What exactly is wrong with the message?

See, I love that the film is even about that in the first place. I've seen other films with messages that aren't subtle either, and they do get their fair share of criticisms, but again... It's trying to say something, and I think it does. I don't think it halfheartedly brought it up, it's the whole film! Plus, it all connects very nicely to what Walt Disney had set out to do since the theme park days. It works off his ambitions and ideas, and crafts a compelling story out of it all whilst keeping his spirit and optimism close, even when things get a little dark.

The screenplay itself can be flimsy at times, but Bird brings heart to it if Lindelof doesn't. I loved the main characters, I even liked the much-criticized villain, Nix. I liked his motivations, I liked how he was pretty much walking, talking hyper negativity. Sure, that in itself can be the script being unsubtle about its message, but I enjoyed the character and he made for a pretty convincing. I can see why people would have an issue with the character, but I felt he was more than serviceable. I think the script's biggest strength is not only how it handles the leads, but also its way of progressing.

Brad Bird certainly knows pacing, as seen all of his other films, Tomorrowland rarely stops. It barely veers off the road, literally! Its quieter moments are handled with finesse, character interactions? Great! It's not always too, too fast, thankfully. Its third act doesn't pelt you with an overlong epilogue, and the film just hops right to it off the bat. Its tone is nice and upbeat, it's never really gritty or glum or gloomy. Bird and crew want you to have a great time at the cinema, and they make sure you at least have fun. The film's real sense of joy and wonder ties in perfectly with its themes.

It's far from perfect, though. At times it gets a bit uneven, its opening sequence is surely unexpected in the way its put together plus it has its moments where it zips a little too much. At other times it's somewhat mundane, but when it gets a little weird and wild, it embraces it, big time! Walker's childhood "trip" to Tomorrowland along with Casey's initial trip are stand-out moments, and when the film has to deal with tech or its more fantastical elements, it embraces them. Tomorrowland is beautifully crafted and realized, with gadgets and space age wonder aplenty. The nods to Walt Disney, the theme parks, and all things geeky are a nice touch, too. Look out for great easter eggs as well!

That all being said, the film is more about the idea of Tomorrowland and dreamers. Though I understand what the story's overall intentions are, I think it would've been nicer to see this world in full. Though it would probably make the film run longer than its 130-minute running time, I was left wanting more out of the world... It makes me want a sequel, actually. See, I loved what they had when it came to the fantastical elements, and maybe a little more of that could've buffered some of the ordinary-ness of the modern day scenes.

Tomorrowland is definitely more in the crowd-pleaser territory, but it's smart because Brad Bird makes sure he gives you a fun popcorn flick with substance. I feel it's very Walt-esque in spirit and works off of a lot of his ideas and ambitions. It may not all connect entirely, but what it does have is a great idea, a lot of wonder, great characters, and a much-needed super-optimistic tone...

Early Look at Aardman's 'Early Man'

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With Aardman's latest already out overseas, we have gotten a look at their next feature!

Oh, and it's a stop-motion feature too!

The project is called Early Man, it's from director Nick Park, who has directed the classic Wallace & Gromit shorts, the Wallace & Gromit feature film (please tell me, Aardman, how's the next one coming?), and Chicken Run. Mark Burton and John O'Farrell (both did Chicken Run and Curse of the Were-Rabbit) will write the script.

We even have an early look at it!


What's the story? Deadline says...

"Set at the dawn of time, when dinosaurs and woolly mammoths roamed the earth, Early Man tells the story of how one plucky caveman unites his tribe against a mighty enemy and saves the day, while also inadvertently inventing the game of football."

I don't know about you, but I think Aardman is doing a story about cavemen because of what happened to a scrapped project of theirs called Crood Awakening...

What's Crood Awakening, you ask? A long time ago, Aardman joined forces with an up-and-coming DreamWorks. They saw great success with 2000's Chicken Run, which was Aardman's first feature-length film. Chicken Run was actually, at the domestic box office, the highest-earning non-Disney animated film for a little while. DreamWorks' own Shrek would take that crown a year later. It was also instrumental in leading to the creation of the Best Animated Feature category. Their next feature was Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were Rabbit. While rightfully critically acclaimed, it wasn't a smash hit, but it still was a profitable feature.

When Were Rabbit was coming out, Aardman began development on a feature called Crood Awakening, which would be about - you guessed it - cavemen. Kirk DeMicco was one of the writers, alongside John Cleese, who would voice one of the leads. However, Aardman and DreamWorks' partnership soured after the release of Flushed Away in 2006. The rights to the Crood Awakening concept stayed under DreamWorks' wing, and they reimagined it as a CG feature. DeMicco stayed onboard, writing and directing it alongside Chris Sanders, who was attached to the project shortly after he left Walt Disney Animation Studios in 2006. The only thing that the finished film and Aardman's concept had in common was the setting, that's it.

So is Aardman making this film because they still want to make a film about cavemen? Maybe.

Anyways, the plot - simple as it may seem - sounds like fun and it should be loaded with the usual wit and creativity that Aardman is known for. Like this year's The Shaun the Sheep Movie, it'll be distributed overseas by StudioCanal, who also saw a big success with the surprisingly charming Paddington.

Now I wonder if Lionsgate will pick it up for US release. It took a little while for Shaun the Sheep to find a US distributor, so I don't know. Is Lionsgate willing to do business with Aardman? I sure hope so, or someone at least.

There doesn't seem to be much on what the release date could be, but considering that they seem to have the look of it determined, I can imagine it hitting next year or 2017. What say you?

2D Talk: Brad Bird Wants To Do Another Traditionally Animated Film

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Of course, who wouldn't?

In a recent interview with Tom and Tony Bancroft for their Bancroft Brothers podcast, Bird said the following...

"A lot of the projects that I want to do beyond [Incredibles 2] are both live-action and animation, and I would love to do another hand-drawn thing.

As wonderful as CG is and can be, and I really enjoy it, and I enjoy being able to move the camera, and I enjoy the control over lighting, and really tiny movement that you have in computer generated stuff, there’s an itch that is not scratched that only hand-drawn can really scratch in me.

There’s a sense of wonder that’s very specific to me about hand-drawn animation where it kind of announces its artificiality at every moment, and yet, if you do it right, you can make people disappear into that world just as well as you can into CG. I miss that, and I would love to do somewhere down the line, to return to a hand-drawn film."


Wonderful to know!

The bigger question is this... Will he be able to do just that?

Bird has been a hot commodity since Ratatouille was an unexpected smash (outside of people who knew a new Pixar film would do well, some out there doubted that people would see a movie about a rat wanting to become a chef in Paris), even more so after his foray into live-action with the critically acclaimed box office smash Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol.

Now we're at Tomorrowland. I'm not going to say what I think will happen, because despite a very weak opening day, something good could happen that could help the film. Even if it doesn't live up to expectations, Bird will still be wanted because his other hits... And also for what he's doing next: The Incredibles 2. That film shouldn't be out until 2018 at earliest, though I'm honestly thinking 2019 will be the year it comes out, so it'll be a while before we see another original Brad Bird project... Unless he somehow develops and directs films simultaneously, and is able to get a new film out every 2-3 years. If he can do it, I think he would, but we shall see...

(Oh, and go see Tomorrowland. Comes highly recommended!)

I assume 1906 is still on his mind, as he did mention it in a recent interview at the Tribeca Film Festival. He also said during that interview that he would love to make a Western, and also brought up Ray Gunn, an awesome-sounding 2D retro-futuristic sci-fi/noir detective story that he developed at Warner Animation in the mid-to-late 1990s. A feature that he wanted to aim to older kids and up, something that would probably get a PG-13 rating. I can't imagine him doing this at Pixar...

If anything, if he were to make a 2D film in the future, it would probably be Ray Gunn. It's the one I - and I assume many others - would love to see. It would probably be done by a smaller studio though.

But there's a wall in the way of 2D, and that's the ignorance of American animation executives, pesky conventional "wisdom", and no one being willing to explore the roots of hand-drawn's first and second demise in North America. We all know what happened and we all know it's not as simple as "audiences have given up on 2D", but they don't. Here's hoping Bird will be the one to take a proverbial wrecking ball and smash that proverbial wall...

Plus, adult-oriented animation still arguably struggles in the feature animation world here. 2016's Sausage Party could open up a new market for animation that isn't kid-friendly, or maybe it'll just make way for more raunchy R-rated features like it and not truly mature/smart animated features that don't carry anything lower than a PG-13 rating, but we shall see...

One can only hope, right?

'Tomorrowland' Box Office Babble

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Walt Disney Pictures' latest live-action release that doesn't happen to be a reimagining of one of their animated classics opened with a paltry $32 million. Though it may ultimately have legs that'll save it, and stronger foreign grosses down the line (it only scooped up a meager amount in most of Europe), the film most likely has to make $380 million in all in order to break even and double its massive $190 million production budget...

I must warn you... What will follow is all strongly opinion-based, this is probably an epic rant that goes nowhere, maybe a lot of it is generalization. A lot of it is probably ignorant to how Hollywood movies work and whatnot. I don't claim to be a box office expert. Maybe it's full of holes and inaccuracies. It probably is. Maybe the whole entire thing is hogwash. Absolute rubbish. There's a chance I'll regret posting it here hours or days or weeks later... But it's something I want to get off of my chest...

Here it goes...

Oh, and Tomorrowland SPOILERS ahead...

The problem with Tomorrowland and its box office prospects, oddly enough, doesn’t all really lie in the marketing or its supposed quality... This can even be extended to the likes of John Carter of Mars and The Lone Ranger and several other live-action Disney films like it...

It’s the budgets...

$150 million is an astronomical amount of money, which is obvious to anyone. Some of the biggest blockbusters, films based on well-known IPs and brands, cost this much or higher...

Few original films pass such a threshold outside of a good number of animated films. James Cameron’s Avatar cost $237 million to make, and was - all things considered - a massive risk. Thankfully for him and 20th Century Fox, it paid off greatly...

The top 20 all-time domestic list - if we take away the films made in the 1970s, 1980s and even the 1990s - mostly consists of films that were really high budget and happened to be proven hits before they even came out. Marvel Cinematic Universe Iron Man 3 is a good example, along with Warner/DC’s The Dark Knight Rises. Transformers' second installment got there because the first film was already huge, and that was based on an IP a lot of people know plus it promised action that got audiences flying into the theaters. Aside from sequels, what modern films are up there?

The original Hunger Games is up there, and it did well simply because it looked great and because of the books. But that was actually a smaller-scale film that cost $78 million. The budgets increased with the sequels, one of which is up there too. Frozen? The stars lined up for that film, but I reckon audiences treated it as a Tangled 2 in a way. Plus you have Disney, the overall pull of a classic-style Disney film, you know the deal. Spider-Man, when released in 2002, was unlike any superhero film that preceded it plus it was the big-screen debut of the wall crawler, plus it looked great.

Very few non-sequels are up there, and if they are, they are familiar to audiences in some way, shape, or form. Hunger Games and the books, Frozen and Disney's princess films/the well-liked Tangled/beloved Renaissance-era films, Spider-Man and his Marvel comics origins...

As for Avatar and Titanic, James Cameron happened to make two films that hit everyone, and I mean everyone, at the rightest time possible. Two cases of the stars all lining up...

Then as go down the list and past the top 20, you’ll see some more original stories...

Some are based on well-known IPs. Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone and The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring were probably going to do good to begin with, given the source material. Harry Potter was recent and there were no previous adaptations, the iron was hot. The Lord of the Rings had been around for decades but didn't receive film adaptations that caught on like wildfire (Ralph Bakshi's 1978 film was a success back when it opened, not earth-shattering, but good-sized), and this one came with a huge scope, awesome effects, it looked like the definitive movie adaptation...

One notable original up in the top 40 is Pixar's Finding Nemo, coming off of a slew of beloved original stories, and one that happened to look great to everyone from family audiences to casual moviegoers. Adjust it, and it sits at $457 million domestically. If released today, that'd be looked at with reverence!

Then you've got films like Forrest Gump, crazy-successful once-in-a-blue-moon sleeper hits. Based on a novel, yes, but would anyone have thought in 1994 that it would be so big? It opened with an good $24 million and HUNG ON. Adjust it today, it's a movie that opened with $47 million and made over $600 million domestically. That makes Avatar's performance look like nothing! It's amazing what adjusting for inflation can show you...

However, just because something is based on an IP doesn't mean it can't be risky, this is where something like Iron Man comes in...

2008... Comic book movies regularly enjoy success, when they happen to appeal to audiences. For all the goodwill Batman Begins got, it opened with so-so numbers, but it had excellent legs once people realized, "Hey! This isn't Batman & Robin! This is actually really good!" The X-Men and Spider-Man films did very well, Hulk opened big but collapsed because it didn't gel with audiences (on a sidetone, I was 11 when it came out and knew little about the Hulk, I went in expecting a movie about an angry green giant and lots of action... I remember being bored to tears!), others tanked.

Iron Man was pretty risky. How big was he with the general public? Apparently he was no Spider-Man or X-Men or even Captain America. In 2008, I had little comic book knowledge, when I heard of the film I assumed it was going to be some sort of take on the Black Sabbath song, not gonna lie! They even used the song in the trailers and the film's end credits, anyway. The film is also special because an entire shared universe of interconnecting films that was hitherto unheard of at the time was depending on its success. The marketing was great, people got interested from the trailers and what they saw of it, and they went... AND HOW!

Keep doing down and we see Independence Day. Not based on any IP, just a big blockbuster with then super-amazing effects, destruction, and an awesome trailer. Everyone was hooked, and that's why everyone went. It was a novelty of sorts, because the 1990s was when effects began to get better and better (Terminator 2 and Jurassic Park, anyone?), and audiences took notice. Nowadays, all that effects sheen means NOTHING. I won't be surprised if Independence Day 2 doesn't even make half of what the original made domestically...

Below that film is one other peculiar film

Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl...

Pirates of the Caribbean was a massive risk for The Walt Disney Company. A goliath risk, even... In 2003, who would’ve thought that a Gore Verbinski-directed, $135 million-costing (a gargantuan cost back then, and big today) pirate film, a subgenre considered all but dead by Hollywood and box office pundits, by Disney that happened to carry a PG-13 rating, would be a smash hit that would start a franchise?

To add to that, this was also Disney's first PG-13 film that wasn't released under the Touchstone or Hollywood Pictures banners...

The only thing it had on its side was the actual Pirates of the Caribbean ride at the Disney theme parks, so it had something going for it, but it wasn't a guarantee, especially with such an enormous budget...

So what happened?

It's opening weekend wasn't the greatest ($47 million was certainly good in 2003, but nothing too special, not in a world of films grossing over $80-100 million on their opening weekends), but then something happened...

The people who saw it told their friends, and their friends told their friends, and so on and so forth. Disney made a mint with it, big time. Those trailers or what was shown in the marketing obviously got a good amount of people excited, but it had so much in its favor now that a good chunk of the public had seen it and liked it. The Pirates franchise will continue with the much-delayed fifth installment, Dead Men Tell No Tales, in summer 2017, which will be a good 14 years after the first film came out!

This was followed up by National Treasure in fall 2004, a conspiracy-themed action-adventure that cost $100 million and happened to be an original story not based on any pre-existing IP. Like Pirates, it was arguably a big risk for Disney. It paid off, though it took some time to get there. Its opening, like Pirates' opening, was no great shakes, but legs and whatnot helped greatly. Audiences liked it a great deal and it got itself a sequel three years later that also did very well. Why a third one hasn’t happened and probably won’t happen is a mystery to me. It was perhaps less risky than Pirates because it was rated PG and was much more family-friendly, but it was still a more interesting film than what they cooked up 5 years earlier...

The third film in this trio of risky pictures was The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and The Wardrobe. The least riskiest, it was based on the classic book series by C.S. Lewis and boasted Harry Potter-sized ambitions, it was released in fall 2005. This massive $180 million-costing film was a smash hit domestically and internationally.

2006 rolled around. Disney had three big budget blockbuster-type pictures that were successful, one being a risk because it was fresh, the other being a risk because it was entirely original. Naturally, Disney wanted franchises out of these big hits. Pirates would be the first to get the sequel treatment, and they were timely. Pirates of the Caribbean’s sequel, Dead Man's Chest, carried a goliath $225 million price tag, but it was a record-breaker and an all-out smash hit. It didn’t matter if the sequel had poor writing and a messy story (it got very mixed reviews, as opposed to the original), it was a sequel to a beloved film that made over $300 million domestically, it was going to be huge regardless.

2007 brought the third Pirates of the Caribbean film, subtitled At World's End, which cost $300 million (!!!) and got mixed reviews as well. It didn’t matter, it was Pirates of the Caribbean 3! It made over $300 domestically and nearly cracked the big billion worldwide. That was in the summer, National Treasure: Book of Secrets capped off the lucrative year with over $200 million domestically and over twice as much worldwide.

So 2005, 2006, and 2007 were fine years for Disney on the live-action end.

Then some problems came about in 2008...

The Chronicles of Narnia’s second installment, Prince Caspian, followed the same route the Pirates sequel went. The budget was significantly higher, $225 million. It worked for the sequel to the beloved Pirates, why not this?

Problem was, Prince Caspian wasn’t perhaps all that appropriate for a chunk of the family audiences that the first one won. There was controversy over its violence and PG rating, and whatnot. It wasn’t as well-received either, and it opened in the competitive summer rather than the holiday season, where it could grow insane legs. It opened well enough, but it didn't have the original's longevity. Overseas it wasn't anywhere near as big as part uno, too. Something happened there...

Prince Caspian certainly made a healthy amount of money worldwide, but it wasn’t enough to double its behemoth budget. It was technically a big-scale flop. Disney no longer wanted anything to do with Narnia, so they shipped it off. Fox took over from there and spent a more modest amount on the third film, The Voyage of the Dawn Treader, which came out in 2010 and was profitable. On top of not throwing gazillions at it, Fox released it in the winter and it had more time to catch on and breathe, plus it was more family-friendly. A fourth one is in the works...

Too bad Disney lost a potential ongoing franchise in Narnia.

By the time Prince Caspian came out, it was time to create new big budget films that could possibly start franchises. Films that would take the baton from Pirates and Narnia and Treasure, regardless of Narnia's second installment not doing well. Disney was left with Pirates still going, and National Treasure being in limbo. The back-up plan was in order...

A very family-friendly live-action/CG critter romp called G-Force came out in 2009, costing $150 million. It did fine enough domestically, being your typical leggy kids flick. Overseas it did okay, too... but in all it didn’t do well enough to warrant sequels. It fell shy of $300 million, double its budget. It was too much of a kids-only pic, had it been more for all ages, it could've done some very good business. It was the family film that skewed all ages, like National Treasure and the first Narnia.

Next in line were Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time, The Sorcerer's Apprentice, and a massive, no-holds-barred sequel to TRON titled TRON: Legacy. Pirates of the Caribbean’s fourth installment was in the works alongside these pictures, John Carter of Mars was in early development along with The Lone Ranger.

A lot of these pictures are very much like Pirates of the Caribbean. They were all big budget, they were all very risky and perhaps weren’t guaranteed hits. A majority of them were also rated PG-13...

Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time, for a fine example, is based on a video game series. A video game series whose more recent entries were rated T and M. Video game-based films normally don’t make for box office hits, but that’s due to poor writing and the resulting films turning out to be undesirable. There were exceptions, of course, and maybe Prince of Persia could buck the trend. Pirates did it with pirate movies, so why couldn’t Prince of Persia do just that with video game-based movies?

They got a $200 million budget, the director of Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire, a rather agreeable PG-13 rating and tone, well-known actors... What could possibly go wrong? Halfway down its road to release, Disney saw a huge management shift. Out went Walt Disney Pictures Chairman Dick Cook, in came a rather inexperienced Rich Ross...

Ross fired a lot of people within the wing, getting rid of senior marketing people and replacing them with rather inexperienced new, “fresh”, “young” blood. Problem was, this group of people didn’t seem to know how to handle Prince of Persia. The marketing failed to get tons of audiences in the seats on opening weekend, the film opened with a very disappointing $30 million on the Memorial Day weekend. It had decent legs, but it only made $90 million stateside. Worldwide, it made $336 million. The film failed to double its ridiculous budget...

Remember how Box Office Mojo jokingly
wrote about how the ads made the film
look like it was titled "May 28"?

But then someone will say the tired old, "It flopped because it was bad!"

Prince of Persia's slipshod quality is no excuse for the film's box office performance. As shown many, many, many times before, you can take a not-so-good movie and make it look good to audiences. Look at how Top 50-100 films aren't all that well-received! National Treasure is a fine example: The Rotten Tomatoes score is 44%, it got mixed and negative reviews, don't say "movies flop because they are bad!" Did Pinocchio flop in 1940 because it was bad? Did Blade Runner flop in 1982 because it was bad? Did The Iron Giant flop in 1999 because it was bad?

Anyways...

Perhaps Disney, when greenlighting the film, shouldn’t have counted the proverbial chickens before they hatched... Why in the world did the budget skyrocket to $200 million? That’s an awful lot for any film, even something based on a well-known IP!

Maybe Persia should've costed $150 million instead, so $336 million wouldn't seem too bad. More than double the budget, and it seems that Disney at least expects a film to make 2x the budget because they can handle the other things, what with being a humungous company and all. (A studio/company DreamWorks, on the other hand, probably requires their films to make more than 2 1/2x their budgets. 3x, even!)

A month earlier, Warner Bros. put out the $125 million Clash of the Titans. FX-heavy out the wazoo, with creatures and action and stuff... Why couldn't Prince of Persia cost nearly as much? How much did they pay the likes of Jake Gyllenhaal?

Earlier that year, Disney scored a monster hit with another huge-scale live-action picture... Now I didn't mention this one earlier because it arguably wasn't much of a risk despite its massive budget...

You can probably guess what it is...


The $200 million-costing Alice in Wonderland...

Alice in Wonderland already had so much going for it, so it really wasn't as big of a risk. Why?

Everyone knows the classic story, it's arguably iconic. A lot of people are familiar with Walt Disney's 1951 animated film based on the property so people probably saw this is as a remake/reimagining of the Disney classic rather than just another adaptation of the Lewis Carroll stories, Tim Burton directing, the marketing campaign - fired up in mid 2009 - was already great, Johnny Depp as the Mad Hatter, the film looked like a must-see...

Then something else happened during the holiday season of 2009...

A little movie made by James Cameron...

Avatar.

After that film came a very brief 3D craze. Now everybody had to see Alice in Wonderland... And everybody did. $300 million+ domestic, to everyone’s surprise, and over $1 billion worldwide!

That beat out the maddest of box office predictions! By a country mile!

So Alice was big, Persia lost money. The safe bet won, the risk didn't.

The post-Cook marketing people also left The Sorcerer's Apprentice to die, a lame $150 million-costing film that appealed to few. With a modest budget it could’ve been something of a small hit, as it did carry a PG rating and was more family-friendly. It didn't, however, appeal to adults and teens unlike a good family film, the marketing failed to sell it. With a roughly $100 million budget, it could've done well enough. The film did have good legs during the summer, and it ultimately collected $215 million worldwide. Of course that's pretty bad for a film expected to make at least $300 million...

Then came TRON: LegacyTRON: Legacy is very much a Dick Cook-era production like Alice, Persia, and Sorcerer's Apprentice, and perhaps they overshot things once again when giving it a $170 million budget. The original TRON, which Walt Disney Productions made and put out in 1982, was not a very conventional film that also happened to carry a big budget and groundbreaking special effects. It didn’t do well at the box office, but it did garner a wide base over the years. Disney seemed to act off of that alone, or maybe they felt that TRON and its ideas would be more relevant with modern audiences considering that computers were still somewhat foreign to most American moviegoers in the early 1980s...

Still, spending $170 million on a TRON sequel was a big risk...

The marketing campaign already went into full gear two years before it even came out. In 2008, a test trailer showed up out of nowhere at Comic-Con, shocking and amazing the attendees. That same test trailer was given an official release in summer 2009, as the film was already underway. The post-Cook marketing people took the campaign up to eleven, marketing the living daylights out of the film.

One of Rich Ross’ main “goals” as Chairman of Walt Disney Pictures was to make pictures for young boys, a demographic that Disney felt they were scaring off at the time. It’s the reason why Walt Disney Animation Studios was briefly forced to cease making films based on fairy tales that happened to be about princesses, it’s why Rapunzel was retitled to Tangled, it’s also why some particular projects were greenlit later on down the road. We'll get to those...

Ross saw potential in TRON: Legacy and assumed, because it would be in 3D, it mostly took place in a big sci-fi fantasy world, and because of the success of Alice behind them, that it would be the next Avatar. That’s right... A sequel to a cult classic being the next Avatar... The marketing campaign for the film was huge, they pulled out all the stops on it.

TRON: Legacy actually did very well. It had a great domestic run, and it grossed a strong $400 million worldwide, but against that hefty budget and the aggressive marketing, the gross kind of looked weak. A third film stalled and stalled, the franchise slowly lost traction. The third film is reportedly set to shoot in October...

Ross’ Disney was beginning to crumble by the beginning of 2011, a little over a full year into his tenure. He was dumping Cook spillover from the potential hits (Persia) to the oncoming clunkers (Mars Needs Moms), and was green lighting very few new projects... One of the pics he greenlit was Prom, which felt like a Disney Channel movie and should've been exactly that. It did nothing in theaters, it disappeared with grace...

He also greenlit Oz The Great and Powerful and the long-gestating The Lone Ranger. The former because of Alice's success, the latter because... Maybe he felt a guns-a-blazin' Western fit right in with his "chase the young boy audience" strategy, and maybe he thought that would be the Jerry Bruckheimer blockbuster that would be the next Pirates, if Persia ended up not being just that. Maleficent also moved forward under his watch, again, because of Alice's success, and later the success of reimagined fairy tale flicks like Universal's successful Snow White and the Huntsman.

At the same time he shuttered many things. He and his cronies barked death to 2D animated films and fairy tales after late 2009's The Princess and the Frog only did moderately well. However, it was too late to cancel upcoming Disney Animation fairy tale Tangled, but he did go as far as getting the original title changed to the awful title it has now. (I never liked that title, never. One of the other pending "non-girly" titles, The Secret Tower, was far better.) Tangled was a hit, and now he was singing a different tune, fairy tales were a-ok under his watch now, which is why Frozen moved forward... But it wouldn't be a 2D film as planned.

Ross also took Disney Double Dare You out back, an animation studio (or was it going to be a mere label?) that was going to specialize in spooky, more horror-themed stories with the likes of Guillermo del Toro involved... Oooooh how awesome that would've been! But Ross killed it. Mars Needs Moms bombing lead to ties being cut with Robert Zemeckis' ImageMovers, and probably for the better.


However, a real problem began to emerge in mid-2010, when John Carter of Mars moved forward. The Andrew Stanton-directed epic based on the influential Edgar Rice Burroughs books was a massive risk, but Cook saw potential in it back in 2007. It was the very book series that influenced the likes of Star Wars and several other iconic sci-fi/fantasy stories, it was from an acclaimed Pixar filmmaker, and it promised big scale thrills and a possible franchise.

However, the budget spiraled out of control under Rich Ross, when the film finally began production. The budget would be $250 million... $250 million! Any wise executive dealing with the aftermath of films that cost $150-225 million flopping would've worked very hard to keep the budget for John Carter of Mars under control no matter what. Reportedly Stanton was in over his head when directing his first live-action picture, but I'm not getting into that, all I'm going to say is this... A wise or more seasoned executive would've tried to really keep things under control. If Stanton was indeed not ready, he should've had smart and experienced executives keeping him in line. Ross was anything but experienced to run a film studio, and this was the first big project he truly oversaw...

Instead, the production ended up being something of a mess. A big mistake was in the making...

But then the marketing executives seemed to interfere, John Carter of Mars’ title lost the “Of Mars”. They'll say Stanton himself had it removed because he felt the film was more of an origin story, but that doesn't line up. The film ends with the title John Carter showing up for a second time, and Of Mars fading in under it. Plus, rumor has it that the marketing people argued "Of Mars" didn’t test well and that Mars Needs Moms flopping would’ve effected the film if it had that title. Up until 2011, it bore the title John Carter of Mars. I don't know, what story do you believe? The execs being nut jobs sounds more feasible to me.

Its trailers failed to mention the Edgar Rice Burroughs connections, or Andrew Stanton’s Pixar pedigree. The film looked like a Star Wars knock-off mixed with Avatar and Prince of Persia. A lot of people don't know that the titular hero came first in 1912. How did Disney marketing let that all happen? Some article with a source who is identified as an unnamed Disney "marketing mole" will tell you that it was truly all Andrew Stanton's fault and that he controlled the marketing and that he made the Disney marketing head cry in an argument, yadda yadda yadda. Other stories say it was nasty studio politics, and that Ross and his cronies intended to kill Stanton's film, writing it off as spillover from the Dick Cook era that was one long, proverbial "rip the band-aid" moment.

Whatever happened, the marketing started out as a bust and continued to be a bust...


The Lone Ranger ran into issues the same year John Carter's marketing kicked up, its budget also skyrocketed to $250 million! Again, why the hell would you spend $150 million alone on a film based on The Lone Ranger? A property that probably isn’t well-known amongst 15-35yo moviegoing audiences and possibly their parents even. Plus the film, despite ending up carrying a PG-13, would be pretty violent and perhaps be too weird for some audiences out there. Westerns are also not guaranteed smashes overseas... But again, what could possibly go wrong? It’s from the director and producer team of the Pirates trilogy, has Johnny Depp playing an eccentric character, and action!

By 2011, Pirates was waning in the US. The fourth installment dipped in ticket sales, grossing significantly less than the first installment even! Worldwide, it didn't matter, it was the biggest one overseas, probably thanks to the 3D/IMAX 3D uptick.

Production halted on The Lone Ranger in order for the studio to keep the budget in check... By in check they meant reducing it by $25 million.

The Lone Ranger would cost $225 million!

Meanwhile, Maleficent began to gain traction. That would be greenlit with a $180 million budget. Seemed more reasonable, given the success of Alice in Wonderland and given the fact that Walt Disney’s classic Sleeping Beauty is iconic and beloved.

In mid-2011, Ross greenlit one peculiar production. One that seemed to fall in line with his “chase the young boy audience” mentality: A science fiction script by Damon Lindelof, who worked on LOST and would later write Prometheus and Star Trek Into Darkness. They greenlit it, and $190 million was eventually thrown at it.

What could possibly go wrong? Even after G-Force, Prince of Persia, and Sorcerer's Apprentice flopped... Even after big sci-fi action flick TRON: Legacy didn’t quite post the numbers they wanted...

Lindelof’s script would get a director and co-writer in Brad Bird the Pixar mastermind who directed The Incredibles and Ratatouille, and also the highly successful Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol for Paramount. Bird was named director in early 2012. The picture became Tomorrowland, a sci-fi tale that was more focused on ideas and themes rather than big action and spectacle...

What could possibly go wrong?

Spring 2012... John Carter bombed at the box office thanks to the awful marketing campaign, and good overseas grosses couldn’t save it. The picture had to have made around $500 million in order to break even! A ridiculous amount to expect for a ton of films really, even some tentpoles! Had Stanton's space epic cost less than $150 million, it wouldn't have been much of a less. $284 million worldwide isn't terrible. If the film had cost $125 million, with all its big sets and monsters and fx spectacle, $284 million would've been okay. Maybe not franchise-starter good, but it wouldn't be much of a loss. At least it would've doubled the $125 million budget...

(I'm aware of John Carter of Mars' long history in Hollywood. Many movie attempts were made, and maybe those "development" costs carried over onto Disney's film, similar to how Tangled's development costs ended up making that budget balloon to $260 million!)

So now they were left with two risky live-action "tentpoles", one carried a $225 million budget and had a stigma attached to it already, the other would be $190 million. Rich Ross was ousted as Chairman, replacing him was experienced veteran Alan Horn. Would he turn the ship around and right the wrongs?

As he was coming in, the Marvel acquisition under Dick Cook was beginning to pay off dearly. The Avengers, the first Marvel Studios film released by Walt Disney Pictures, grossed $600 million+ domestically and $1.5 billion worldwide in the summer of 2012. Every following Marvel film was huge and highly profitable...

What was next for Disney and big budget live-action pictures? A non-risk, Oz The Great and Powerful. It cost $225 million price tag, opened spectacularly, had okay legs, did good overseas, it doubled its budget. That was in spring 2013. A sequel is in development... The Lone Ranger came next and crashed in summer 2013. It had a poor opening and very poor legs, its aggressive marketing campaign failed to sell it and it didn’t really catch on overseas. Did the marketing department even try? Or did they not think it would do good from the get-go? Maybe they assumed "it'll bomb, so let's see if we can get it to make as much as it can."

Maleficent then came about in summer 2014 and was big, making over $200 million domestically and $700 million worldwide. More films like it were greenlit. It was clear that a money tree was in these live-action reimaginings of Disney animated classics. Take an iconic Disney animated classic, do it in live-action with a cast that the BuzzFeed crowd approves of, and boom! Cinderella continued this streak this past spring. It’s made over $500 million worldwide.


So... Tomorrowland...

$190 million budget, original story, has the theme park connection, it could've been something of a modest hit. I'm going to jump the gun just yet. Maybe some freakish thing will happen and will get the film into the black, I don't know. $32 million isn't technically awful, and it did get a small Memorial Day boost yesterday, maybe it'll have legs. Maybe not. It has a middling "B" CinemaScore grade, but then again, so did Prince of Persia and that made 3x its 3-day gross. No PG films are out until Inside Out in mid-June, and if Tomorrowland gets traction before it comes out, it could continue to burn slowly before it wraps up. If Tomorrowland follows a similar pattern, it'll make at least $96 million domestically. Worldwide is currently up in the air. It opened soft in European territories, but it could surprise next weekend in China and other markets.

I still want to wait and see. The press is oddly a mixed bag, there's a lot of snarky articles but there are articles that are immediately rushing to defend the film. Hooray for integrity!

What went wrong? Trailers didn't sell it, plain and simple.

Or did they?

$32 million on opening weekend wouldn't be bad for another movie. Good, even. The problem is, Tomorrowland cost $190 million to make.

Did it really need to cost that much, though?

I don't know about you, but I saw the film and it did not look or feel like a $190 million movie to me. It shouldn't have been expected to make 2x its budget from the get-go... $380 million worldwide.

What I saw was a smaller-scale adventure comedy/drama that was certainly science fiction, but it wasn't a big fantasy film or massive adventure. The trailers made it seem like the film was going to be this big boom-bang-pow adventure set in a dazzling retro-futuristic city, and the trailers were light on the characters themselves. Both George Clooney and Britt Robertson's characters, Frank Walker and Casey Newton respectively. They didn't even need to show Raffey Cassidy's character Athena. What would've happened had the trailers focused more on them and not the city/cool effects/action?

We visit Tomorrowland roughly three times. In the beginning Walker experiences a bit of it as a kid, then the scene abruptly cuts off. Then Casey grabs the pin, goes to a field out in the woods, and explores it for maybe less than five minutes. The pin timer expires, she's back in the real world. The rest of the film, up until the third act, is Casey journeying to find answers, ultimately teaming her up with Athena and then Walker. There's a set-piece involving a shop full of geeky cool things, with some booms and bangs, but that's about it. The enemies are Disney-style audio-animatronics, there are a few gadgets and stuff here and there...

The last third finally takes us to the titular city, but it's anything but lively and dazzling. It's rundown, dilapidated, post-apocalyptic. We see some cool stuff here and there, and we get a setpiece that doesn't involve too many booms and bangs. No flying around the city, no big CG creature or alien threat to stop, no audio-animatronic war. There's a fight, two robots, a portal, the thing they have to stop, but it's nothing crazy. I've seen the same stuff in films that cost $100-120 million, and it was bigger in those films. On top of all that, it has a message that’s very much front-and-center and one that's currently troubled and dividing audiences and critics alike, it comments on the state of the world today, and it’s through and through a science fiction film...

This should've costed $90 million minimum, not $190 million.

Yes, marketing is an issue with these live-action pictures. Yes, them being hard sells is an issue with these live-action pictures...

But so is Disney...

Or whoever is throwing all that money into these pictures...

G-Force didn’t need to cost $150 million, even with tons of effects or flash.

Prince of Persia didn't need to cost $200 million.

The Sorcerer's Apprentice should’ve costed less than $100 million.

John Carter of Mars' budget shouldn't have ballooned to anywhere near $150 million.

The Lone Ranger shouldn't have costed anywhere near $225 million, or $125 million even...

It is and was certainly bold of Disney to spend so much on all of these risky films, films that probably weren’t meant to be the kinds of films that gross over $500 million worldwide and launch franchises. To expect that of something original is a bit ridiculous, wouldn't you say? I mean, it's already quite enough when it's for something that's pretty much guaranteed to strike gold!

If Tomorrowland had cost $120 million tops, its box office uphill climb wouldn’t be so massive. The same goes for The Lone Ranger. A $100 million Lone Ranger would’ve been a success, since the film did ultimately make $260 million in the end, that’s more than 2 1/2 times a $100 million budget. A $150 million-costing John Carter still would’ve flopped with $284 million worldwide, but the write-down wouldn’t be as massive. A $150 million Prince of Persia would’ve done okay with $336 million worldwide.

The problem is, once again, Disney going for excess with budgets...

I feel that this is what ultimately hurt these “tentpole” films, and it’s too early to say what Tomorrowland will end up being, be it a flop or a modest success or hit even, but still... It cost too much to make.

Did Disney perhaps get some sort of overconfidence after the blockbusting trio of Pirates, National Treasure, and Narnia? Disney can certainly afford the losses of those films, for they have their own animation studio, Pixar, Marvel, and Lucasfilm alongside theme parks and consumer products and merchandise, and every other asset from ABC to ESPN...

The problem is, when something doesn’t do well, the current Disney seems to cease to try, try, try again...

Polar opposite of what Walt Disney did. Walt soldiered on with crazy experiments and risks despite being low on money at many times in his life... Even when he was in debt! You owe how many millions to the bank circa 1948? That's okay, make an animated feature that's not a package anthology film, get into live-action, film nature documentary short films, get into TV... Oh, and now that we've recouped, it's the early 1950s now, let's... Build a theme park!

Disney has money pits everywhere, they have no excuse.

Should they continue with original, ambitious live-action pictures, they ought to consider the budgets and scale them down. Disney likes to scale things down, so why don't they scale down the budgets of these films? Why don't they save the $150-250 million budgets for the stuff that's obviously going to break even? You know... Marvel films and Star Wars chapters?

Disney live-action’s slate is mostly just reimaginings of Disney animated classics. Very few offbeat Tomorrowland or John Carter-esque projects are on the slate, outside of The BFG and maybe The Finest Hours.

The former is a Steven Spielberg production, his first for Disney that isn't a Touchstone picture, and it's about giants. I can imagine that it could cost less than $120 million, $100 million even. The only Roald Dahl films to score are the two films based on his Charlie and the Chocolate Factory. The budget has already been determined, I reckon, and I hope it isn't too big. It's July 1, 2016 release is arguably not too, too breathable, but we'll see what happens...

The Finest Hours? I honestly have no idea how much it'll cost. It's based on a book that's based on something that actually happened in 1952, two T2 tankers were effected by a nor'easter off of Cape Cod. Storms, shipwrecks... I can see it costing less than $100 million. It originally held an October 2015 release, but Disney pushed it to January 2016. It's probably going to be one of those "more for the adults only" films, it doesn't sound like a family film, and when I saw the Disney name on it at the CinemaCon presentation, I was shocked. I honestly thought that this would be a Touchstone release...

But what after that? Hopefully TRON: Ascension moves forward, but that's a sequel and nothing really new, even the TRON franchise is interesting and far more exciting than the umpteenth reimagining of a Disney animated classic. There's Guillermo del Toro's Haunted Mansion, which is essentially the Haunted Mansion-inspired film we deserve, and a more horror-centric one would certainly be fresh and new, but is that moving forward? Or is it going to move forward?

What of recent acquisitions and projects like Goblins? Floors? In The Land of Imagined Things? A Wrinkle in Time? I assume the likes of Matched, Tribyville, Terra Incognita, and The Stuff of Legend aren't going to happen at this point.

Actually... It's worth noting that inbetween all those big films made from PIRATES to now, you had a lot of little scale films, some of which did well and others didn’t. Films like Bridge to Terabithia, Bedtime Stories, Touchstone films like Real Steel and Need for Speed, The Odd Life of Timothy Green, Alexander and the Terrible Day, Into the Woods, Spielberg's upcoming Touchstone release Bridge of Spies...

I won't exactly comment on Disney's spending on the "hit" pictures, though I can see films like Captain America: The Winter Soldier being $120 million-costing films, not films costing more than $170 million. At least Marvel tries to avoid the big 2-0-0 with their non-Avengers/Iron Man films, all of the Phase 2 films in that category cost $170 million to make. Even Guardians of the Galaxy! Hey, John Carter of Mars and The Lone Ranger and Tomorrowland cost more than that fx heavy film that's full of alien planets and creatures!

Basically, yes, Disney ought to watch the budgets on the live-action pictures from now on. Instead of sending ambitious, cool concepts like Tomorrowland to the garbage airlock, they should think of the money that goes into these things and what kind of box office potential these films will have. Especially in a day and age where films have a short time to breathe in theaters, must dash right out of the gate, and do good business before the right-around-the-corner home media release.

I wouldn’t greenlight a script like Tomorrowland with a $190 million budget in mind. I’d shoot for $120 million tops, $100 million even... Perhaps when Tomorrowland was greenlit, Ross and his cronies didn’t know much about its story. Damon Lindelof, who was brought in to do a sci-fi script, likes to treat things like a “mystery box”. Maybe they just greenlit it thinking “It’s a big sci-fi story and it’ll get young boys interested. $190 million!”

But why do that? I’d want to read the script first, get an idea of the size and scope of the picture, its themes, its ideas...

Similarly, I wouldn’t even think of giving The Lone Ranger a budget anywhere near $150 million. I would tell Mr. Verbinski that building steam locomotives isn’t necessary, find a more cost-effective way and still make the train scenes convincing!

Disney needs to get budgets under control with their non-franchise live-action pictures... They aren’t guaranteed wins, and sometimes marketing works, sometimes it doesn’t... Why? Because clearly they can't handle a loss, even when they probably can with everything else making money for them. I don't want these kinds of pictures to go away for good, I want diversity on Disney's live-action slate... At the same time I don't want films like Tomorrowland to be labeled as "flops". These films should be successful to some degree.

DreamWorks Unveils New Project: 'Beekle'

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The moon boy studio has a new project cooking, and it sounds like it has potential...

DreamWorks has been laying low for a little while, and I don't really blame them. Last year was particularly rough, and the year before that wasn't any better. If you were in the know since last fall, you'll know what trouble they went through in the past couple of months...

However, their latest - and only release this year - film Home is currently something of a modest success, or maybe it's a sigh of relief. The film currently sits at $168 million domestically, the biggest for a non-sequel DreamWorks picture since The Croods. Worldwide? $361 million, which is technically 2.6x its budget.

But will DreamWorks consider this a break-even film? Penguins of Madagascar made 2.7x its budget and they still called it flop, and took a $57 million write down on the film. I've said this before, their math is something that's a mystery to me. Monsters vs. Aliens barely doubled its huge $175 million budget back in the spring of 2009, but they didn't fret. Apparently that was a hit. Different times, I guess?

Moving on, they said a while back that they would announce a feature that'll be debuting in China first in the first quarter of 2018. We'd even get the cast and details, and this announcement of an announcement pretty much implied that it would be Oriental DreamWorks' first animated feature...

The new project announced today doesn't sound like it could be it, or maybe it could be, given the director and writer's background in low budget fare... You never know...

The writer-director of this project is Jason Reitman (Juno, Up in the Air, Young Adults), and the project is called Beekle...


What's it about?

Very little was revealed of the plot, which is odd considering that when DreamWorks used to announce projects (many of which still haven't come to fruition), they'd give out pretty detailed synopses. This project is based on a book called The Adventures of Beekle: The Unimaginary Friend, by Dan Santat. The plot of that book? An "imaginary friend" is born on an island and waits to be chosen by a child, but he's never picked. Finally, he journeys to a city and finds someone who names him Beekle... I've heard that the book is surprisingly good, a children's book that's more for the adults.

If done right, this could be a decent heartfelt family comedy. With Reitman behind it, there's promise, though it does sound like yet another family-friendly romp. (Yes yes I know, I shouldn't be expecting DreamWorks to do something different like Alma.) However, if this one has a much more adult-friendly edge (think Up and Inside Out), then it could really be good.

We'll have to wait and see. If it's not that mystery Q1 2018 project, expect this to be a 2019 release at the earliest. If anything, DreamWorks will probably keep a tight lip on things that "could" come out in 2019 and beyond. I think in the coming months and years, we'll be seeing a very different DreamWorks in a way. They won't announce jam-packed slates that think far ahead, they'll probably wait this one out - and other future productions - before inking a release date, that way the production(s) can sail smoothly.

What's your take on this project? What do you think DreamWorks' announcement strategy will be now that they have changed? Sound off below!

Disney Animation and Pixar's 2018-2019 Slate Revealed?

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This bit comes from a Portuguese Disney fan site called O Camundongo (translates to "The Mouse")...

Apparently an expo of sorts is being held in Brazil... It seems legitimate, but from what I've seen, this could be a fan expo rather than an "official" expo that's run by Disney or Disney's Brazilian arm. I'm already seeing people doubting what's been reported from this very event...

This, however, was present at the expo.

Photo credit goes to Paulo Martini.

This leads me to believe that this expo is official.

Anyways...

Take a look at this slate presentation (all credit goes to the person who snapped the photos, obviously)...


2016 seems to be in order for Brazilian moviegoers. Zig-zag up and down the logo bubbles and it's the same order as our 2016 Disney slate, but look carefully... You'll see that Star Wars Anthology: Rogue One precedes Moana. The former's logo bubble mentions December, since it's coming out in December here in the states, but Moana's bubble doesn't have a month. I'm guessing this implies that Moana will not be a fall 2016 release in Brazil, but rather an early 2017 release.

But it gets confusing, because if you keep zig-zagging, Pirates of the Caribbean 5 (opening here on 7/7/2017) comes next, then Guardians of the Galaxy 2 (opening 5/5/2017 here), then Thor: Ragnarok (11/3/2017), you get the idea, it's going back and forth. Even if you read the 2017 releases from left to right, it's still not in order.

However, it's very possible that Disney's PR and news people in Brazil don't have the Brazilian release dates for the films yet. Disney doesn't release most of their films on the same day in every country (i.e. Zootopia opens here 3/4/2016, Brazil gets it 3/17/2016), so it's possible that they just don't have them inked yet, and they might not even be aware of the North American dates at the moment...

But that's not the only interesting part of this presentation.

Have a look at this...


Cars 3, Frozen 2, and The Incredibles 2 are set for 2018 and 2019, which isn't a surprise to most of us in the blogosphere...

Since these slides don't seem to have orders for anything coming out after fall 2016, I'm just going to assume that Frozen 2 and Cars 3 will be 2018 releases (for a while I had predicted that Cars 3 would be Pixar's 6/15/2018 release, while their 11/22/2017 release will be an original film), while The Incredibles 2 will bow in 2019. Pixar currently only has one film slated for a 2018 release, and that's the aforementioned 6/15/2018 release. I keep thinking it's going to go to Cars 3, because how much longer will Disney and Pixar make audiences wait for the third one? It's already been almost four years since the second one...

I think Brad Bird will take his time on The Incredibles 2, rather than rush it to 2018. Disney probably wants both really badly, as one will be huge while the other will easily sell more toys. However, Cars 3 entered development in 2011 and has been stewing for a long, long time. Lasseter also gave a sneak peek at the film at the Tokyo International Film Festival last autumn, so again, I think it's definitely coming out before The Incredibles 2.

As for Frozen 2, I had speculated that it could possibly be the 3/9/2018 release or the 11/21/2018 release, unless Walt Disney Animation Studios' slate sees something of a slight shift or two. (i.e. the March 2018 film swapping spots with Pixar's fall 2017 release).

However, keep in mind that the bubbles for Frozen 2 and The Incredibles 2 use what look like fan-made numbers for the numbers...

Also, Frozen 2 and Cars 3 are to the far left. This implies to me that they'll definitely be 2018 releases, while The Incredibles 2 will launch in 2019. But then again summer 2018 release Black Panther is to the far right... I don't really know, it's a jumbled up list!

Also... Where's Pixar's second 2017 release? Why is it not on the slate?

Now to throw another wrench into the gears, look at this...


So now Moana is a 2016 release in Brazil? That's odd, why does its bubble not mention a month?

Also, a Tangled TV series on Disney Junior in 2017?

Film Divider points out that they had word on a Tangled project a while back, but after the stage musical was announcement, they assumed that was the very "project". However, their writer Charles Madison notes that there could be more to that scoop they got. The site is usually good too, finding some very cool tidbits that probably wouldn't surface elsewhere...

Madison also wonders why The Lion King's Disney Junior TV show spin-off isn't on here either, but then he reckons that it's not on here because the presentation is mostly pink and focuses on the more girl-oriented Disney releases. (Because with Disney, you know they're old-fashioned and they're all for determining which things are for boys and which things are for girls.) Cinderella and the Diamond Edition of Aladdin are in the 2015 slot, Moana and what appear to be "Diamond Editions" of Snow White and Beauty and the Beast (I'll get to that in a moment!), and Elena of Avalor, another princess show for Disney Junior, are in the 2016 slot. 2017? Same deal. Live-action Beauty and the Beast and the Tangled TV series...

Okay, as for the Diamond Editions...

The Diamond line began in 2009 with Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs, followed by Beauty and the Beast in 2010. The Diamond line is going to end in spring 2016 with Pinocchio, the cycle will be complete... So wouldn't those 2016 Blu-rays of Snow White and Beauty and the Beast be... I don't know... Titanium Editions? Super-Awesome Editions? Why use the Diamond name again? From what I've seen, Snow White was definitely a Diamond Edition in Brazil back in 2009, ditto Beauty and the Beast. Maybe the name is a placeholder? I don't know, really...

It makes sense, because Snow White and Beauty and the Beast were the first two titles in the Platinum collection, they were the first two Diamond releases, so it's not shocking that they'd be the two titles to kick off the next collection, whatever they end up calling it. What will this collection even be on? Blu-ray? Digital? The next physical media format? Disney seems to be moving away from Blu-ray little by little...

What say you?
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